La Liga
Real Oviedo - Elche
04/26/2026, 02:15 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.2
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
11%0:1
10%2:1
8%xG 分解
Real Oviedo
Elche
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
33%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Elche's glaring defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 2.82 goals per game
- Real Oviedo's positive recent form trend, currently scoring more (1.6 goals) than their season average (0.9 goals)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 37% probability, compared to 30% for an away win
风险因素
- Real Oviedo had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Elche recorded an average of 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Real Oviedo scores only an average of 0.8 goals per home game
概述
Real Oviedo (20th place, 28 points) host Elche (16th place, 35 points) at the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
La Liga match on April 26, 2026, 4:15 PM
Real Oviedo are fighting relegation, while Elche aim to stay clear of the drop zone
The mathematical analysis gives Real Oviedo a slight advantage with a 37% win probability, a draw is rated at 33%
近期状态
Real Oviedo's (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) form across all competitions is WLWWD
The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches
The last game ended in a draw
Elche's form is LWLWW with 3 wins and 2 losses
Elche won their last two matches consecutively
统计数据
Real Oviedo averages 0.78 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.53 goals
At home, Real Oviedo scores 0.8 goals per game and concedes 1.5 goals
Elche averages 1.31 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.53 goals
Away from home, Elche scores 1.27 goals per game but concedes a high 2.82 goals per away game
Real Oviedo kept 9 clean sheets, Elche 7 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 22 of Elche's games, and in 11 of Real Oviedo's games
At Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, the last five matches averaged 1.6 total goals per game
The mathematical analysis calculates a 66% probability for over 1.5 goals and 37% for over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There has only been one head-to-head match between these two teams
Elche won this match away on September 21, 2025, with a score of 1-0
Elche has 1 win in the historical record compared to 0 wins for Real Oviedo
The goal difference is 1-0 in favor of Elche
关键球员
For Real Oviedo, Federico Viñas recorded 9 goals and 1 assist in 28 season appearances, with 3 goals in his last 5 games
Ilyas Chaira contributed 5 goals and 2 assists in 30 appearances, with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games
Alberto Reina scored 4 goals and 2 assists in 31 season appearances, with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games
For Elche, André Silva scored 9 goals and 0 assists in 25 appearances, with 2 goals in his last 5 games
Héctor Fort registered 1 goal and 2 assists in 9 appearances, with 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games
David Affengruber scored 1 goal and 1 assist in 30 appearances, with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games
Not nominated for Elche: Rafa Mir (8G/0A), Germán Valera (4G/4A), Martim Neto (2G/5A), Tete Morente (1G/1A)
门将
Real Oviedo's goalkeeper Aarón Escandell played in 32 matches and kept 9 clean sheets
Elche's goalkeeper Matías Dituro played in 16 matches and kept 7 clean sheets
影响因素
Real Oviedo concedes 1.5 goals per home game
Elche concedes an average of 2.82 goals per away game
The Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere recorded an average of 1.6 goals per game in the last five matches
Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 20%