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La Liga

Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca

04/25/2026, 12:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Deportivo Alavés
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Mallorca
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
DAMAL

Deportivo Alavés

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.23
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.23
全员可用

Mallorca

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.42
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.27
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.14
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.14
Manu Morlanes替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Zito Luvumbo未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

26%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

74%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Deportivo Alavés with a probability of 55% and an expected 1.75 goals
  • Deportivo Alavés shows positive form according to Advanced Stats, currently scoring more frequently (2.2 goals) than their season average (1.4 goals)
  • Mallorca exhibits significant defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 2.9 goals per away game this season
风险因素
  • Mallorca will be without Manu Morlanes (2 goals, 0 assists) and Zito Luvumbo (0 goals, 2 assists), who are not in the starting lineup
  • Deportivo Alavés' defense has been more vulnerable recently, conceding an average of 2.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.5 goals
概述

Deportivo Alavés (18th place, 33 points) hosts Mallorca (16th place, 35 points) at the Estadio de Mendizorroza. La Liga match on April 25, 2026, 2:00 PM. Both teams are in a relegation battle and desperately need points to move out of the drop zone.

近期状态

Deportivo Alavés' form in their last five games is DWDDL

This corresponds to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

Their last match was a loss

Mallorca, on the other hand, shows a form of WLWWD

This means 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games

Their last match ended in a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Deportivo Alavés has scored an average of 1.13 goals and conceded 1.5 goals per game this season

At home, they scored 1.12 goals and conceded 1.06 goals per home game

Mallorca scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 1.53 goals per match

Their away defense is notably weak, with an average of 2.9 goals conceded per away game

The Estadio de Mendizorroza has seen an average of 3.4 total goals in the last 5 games

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Alavés and Mallorca have an even record

Both teams secured one win each, while three matches ended in a draw

The goal difference is also even at 3:3

The last encounter on September 27, 2025, resulted in a 1:0 away win for Mallorca

关键球员

For Deportivo Alavés, Toni Martínez (9 goals, 3 assists), Lucas Boyé (11 goals, 1 assist), and Carles Aleñá (0 goals, 4 assists) are important players

For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi (21 goals, 1 assist), Samú Costa (6 goals, 1 assist), and Pablo Torre (3 goals, 3 assists) stand out

Toni Martínez and Abde Rebbach show a rising form trend

Vedat Muriqi has stable form

门将

Antonio Sivera is in goal for Deportivo Alavés and has recorded 3 clean sheets this season

Leo Román is Mallorca's goalkeeper, with 4 clean sheets to his name so far

影响因素

Deportivo Alavés scores an average of 1.12 goals and concedes 1.06 goals at home

Mallorca's away defense is weak, conceding 2.9 goals per game

Venue statistics at Estadio de Mendizorroza show an average of 3.4 goals per game

Both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 matches

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