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La Liga

Real Betis - Real Madrid

04/24/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Real Betis
1.6
Total xG
3.0
Real Madrid
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
RBRM

Real Betis

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.24
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.12
Cucho Hernández替补席 (8球, 3助攻)
Aitor Ruibal替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)

Real Madrid

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.67倍)
+0.32
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.19
Arda Güler未进大名单 (4球, 9助攻)
Álvaro Carreras 替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Éder Militão 未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.8球 vs 总体2.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

27%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Real Betis with a 41% probability and 1.63 expected goals, despite Real Madrid's higher league position
  • Real Madrid's current form shows a negative trend, and goal production has decreased from 2.2 season goals to 1.6 in recent matches
  • Real Betis is in stable form, maintaining a consistent scoring rate of 1.8 goals per game
风险因素
  • Real Betis has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Real Madrid has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Real Madrid dominated the last head-to-head matches, winning the most recent encounter 5-1
概述

Real Betis (5th place, 49 points) host Real Madrid (2nd place, 73 points) at the Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla. The La Liga match is on April 24, 2026, 9:00 PM. Real Betis is fighting for an international spot, while Real Madrid aims to close the gap to the league leader.

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Real Betis shows a form of DDDLW, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games. Their last result was a win. The form trend is stable according to the analysis.

Real Madrid has a form of LLDLW, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches. Their last result was a win. Their current form shows a negative trend.

统计数据

Real Betis averaged 1.50 goals scored per game and conceded 1.25 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.53 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded. Real Betis consistently scores, with both season and recent averages around ~1.8 goals per game.

Real Madrid averages 2.09 goals scored per game and 0.94 goals conceded. Away from home, Real Madrid scores 2.15 goals and concedes 1.23 goals per game. Real Madrid's goal production is currently stalled at 1.6 goals, while their season average is 2.2.

The Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla records an average of 3.2 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and 3 out of 5 games finished with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches over the last two years, Real Betis secured 1 win, while Real Madrid claimed 2 wins. 2 games ended in a draw. Real Betis scored 4 goals and conceded 9. The last encounter on January 4, 2026, ended in a 5-1 victory for Real Madrid. Real Madrid has been more dominant in recent head-to-head clashes.

关键球员

For Real Betis, Abde Ezzalzouli with 7 goals and 7 assists, and Pablo Fornals and Antony each with 7 goals, are important players.

For Real Madrid, Kylian Mbappé stands out with 24 goals and 4 assists, Vinicius Junior with 12 goals and 5 assists, and Federico Valverde with 5 goals and 8 assists.

门将

Real Betis' starting goalkeeper is Álvaro Valles, who kept 9 clean sheets this season. For Real Madrid, Andriy Lunin is in goal, with 11 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Real Betis demonstrates a home advantage with an average of 1.53 goals scored and only 0.94 goals conceded in home games. The stadium itself is known for high-scoring matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game, a high BTTS rate of 80%, and an Over 2.5 rate of 60%.

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