La Liga
Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés
04/21/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
2.1
3.2
1.1
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
7%3:0
6%xG 分解
Real Madrid
Deportivo Alavés
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
59%
平局
23%
客胜
18%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
双重机会
主胜或平局
82%
客胜或平局
42%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of a home win at 58%
- Real Madrid shows strong offensive tactics with an average of 7.8 shots on target, while Deportivo Alavés averages 3.6 shots on target
- The historical record clearly favors Real Madrid, who won all 5 direct encounters
风险因素
- Deportivo Alavés concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- Real Madrid's goal production has recently decreased to 1.8 goals per game, while the season average is 2.2
- Deportivo Alavés is currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.4)
概述
Real Madrid (2nd place, 70 points) host Deportivo Alavés (17th place, 33 points) at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga match on April 21, 2026, 9:30 PM
Real Madrid aims to keep pace with the league leaders
近期状态
Real Madrid's form in the last 5 matches is WLLDL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
The home team's recent streak is one loss
Deportivo Alavés shows a form of LDWDD in their last 5 matches (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)
The away team has secured two consecutive draws recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Real Madrid scores an average of 2.1 goals per game this season and concedes 0.94 goals per game
The team managed to keep 11 clean sheets
At the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Real Madrid scores an average of 2.06 goals and concedes 0.72 goals
Deportivo Alavés scores an average of 1.13 goals per game and concedes 1.48 goals
The away team achieved 3 clean sheets
In away matches, Alavés scores 1.14 goals per game and concedes an average of 2.0 goals
Matches at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu average 3.6 total goals
In 80% of matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid dominated with 5 wins and 0 draws
Deportivo Alavés has not managed a single victory so far
The goal difference of 12 to 3 clearly favors Real Madrid
The last direct encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Real Madrid
Real Madrid proved to be the dominant team in recent encounters
关键球员
For Real Madrid, Kylian Mbappé is a key player with 23 season goals and 4 assists
Vinicius Junior contributed 11 season goals and 5 assists
Arda Güler showed 4 goals and 8 assists this season
Kylian Mbappé recorded 2 goals and 0 assists in the last 5 games
Vinicius Junior provided 0 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Arda Güler scored 2 goals and 0 assists in the last 5 games
For Deportivo Alavés, Lucas Boyé is crucial with 11 season goals and 1 assist
Toni Martínez contributed 8 season goals and 3 assists
Ángel Pérez scored 1 season goal and 1 assist
Lucas Boyé scored 3 goals in his last 4 games
Toni Martínez scored 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games
Ángel Pérez scored 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games
门将
Andriy Lunin is the goalkeeper for Real Madrid
Antonio Sivera is in goal for Deportivo Alavés
Real Madrid achieved 11 clean sheets this season
Deportivo Alavés recorded 3 clean sheets
影响因素
Real Madrid shows a strong home record at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu with an average of 2.06 goals scored and 0.72 goals conceded
Deportivo Alavés is more vulnerable away from home, scoring 1.14 goals and conceding 2.0 goals on average
The Santiago Bernabéu stadium encourages high-scoring games with an average of 3.6 goals per match
In 80% of matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals