🇪🇸

La Liga

FC Barcelona - Celta de Vigo

04/22/2026, 07:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
FC Barcelona
1.9
Total xG
2.9
Celta de Vigo
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
FBCDV

FC Barcelona

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.64倍)
+0.42
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (1.8 vs 2.6 赛季平均)
-0.24
Fermín López替补席 (5球, 8助攻)
Ronald Araujo替补席 (3球, 0助攻)

Celta de Vigo

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.23
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.04
Borja Iglesias替补席 (11球, 2助攻)
Óscar Mingueza替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
Hugo Sotelo替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.5球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

25%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

75%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of 58% for an FC Barcelona home win
  • FC Barcelona's strong home offense (avg. 2.68 goals per home game) meets Celta de Vigo's recently vulnerable defense (avg. 3.0 goals conceded in the last 5 games)
  • Current form clearly favors Barcelona with 4 wins from their last 5 games compared to Celta de Vigo's 4 losses
风险因素
  • FC Barcelona shows a negative offensive form trend according to Advanced Stats, with current goal production of 1.8 goals compared to a season average of 2.6 goals
  • Celta de Vigo's goalkeeper Ionuț Radu shows a strongly declining form trend with a delta of -0.66 in the last 5 games
概述

FC Barcelona (1st place, 79 points) host Celta de Vigo (6th place, 44 points) at Camp Nou. La Liga match on April 22, 2026, 9:30 PM. The Catalans are aiming for the title, while Celta de Vigo is fighting for a European spot

近期状态

FC Barcelona's form across all competitions shows 4 wins and 1 loss (WWLWW). The last result was a win. FC Barcelona has achieved two consecutive wins. Celta de Vigo has a form of 1 win and 4 losses (LWLLL). The last result was a loss. Celta de Vigo has suffered three consecutive losses. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

FC Barcelona averages 2.71 goals scored and 0.97 goals conceded per season. At home, they average 2.68 goals scored and only 0.47 goals conceded per game. They kept 12 clean sheets in 12 games, 8 of which were at home. Celta de Vigo averages 1.42 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per season. Away from home, they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded per game. Celta de Vigo kept 8 clean sheets in 8 season games, 5 of which were away. At Camp Nou, the average is 4.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches. In 3 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 4 wins for FC Barcelona, no wins for Celta de Vigo, and 1 draw. FC Barcelona scored 15 goals and Celta de Vigo scored 10 goals. The last encounter was won by FC Barcelona on November 9, 2025, with a score of 4:2. FC Barcelona has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches

关键球员

For FC Barcelona, Lamine Yamal with 15 goals and 11 assists, Ferran Torres with 14 goals and 1 assist, and Dani Olmo with 7 goals and 7 assists are the top scorers. Lamine Yamal shows a declining form trend, while Ferran Torres shows a rising form. For Celta de Vigo, Ferran Jutglà (7 goals, 2 assists), Javi Rueda (2 goals, 4 assists), and Hugo Álvarez (3 goals, 1 assist) stand out. Ferran Jutglà and Hugo Álvarez show a stable form trend

门将

Joan García is FC Barcelona's goalkeeper and recorded 12 clean sheets this season, 8 of which were in home games. His form is declining in the last 5 games. Ionuț Radu is Celta de Vigo's goalkeeper. He kept 8 clean sheets in 8 season games, 5 of which were in away games. His form shows a strongly declining trend in the last 5 games

影响因素

FC Barcelona's home advantage is statistically proven by their strong home offense with an average of 2.68 goals and home defense with only 0.47 goals conceded per game. Camp Nou has seen an average of 4.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches. In 3 of the last 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。