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La Liga

Athletic Club - Osasuna

04/21/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Athletic Club
1.6
Total xG
2.4
Osasuna
0.8
最可能的比分

1:0

13%

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
ACOSA

Athletic Club

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.18
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.02
Oihan Sancet替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.2球)

Osasuna

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.53
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.06
Alejandro Catena未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

28%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

72%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Athletic Club with 55% probability and expects 1.60 home goals
  • Athletic Club's goal production recently dropped significantly to 0.6 goals, well below the season average of 1.2 goals
  • Osasuna shows a stronger offensive style with an average of 6.0 shots on target in the last 5 games, compared to Athletic Club's 4.8 shots on target
风险因素
  • Osasuna concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
  • Osasuna is missing A. Catena Marugán (yellow card suspension), A. Osambela Larraya (red card suspension), and I. Benito Sánchez (cruciate ligament injury)
  • Athletic Club recently showed a declining goal production of 0.6 goals compared to their season average of 1.2 goals
概述

Athletic Club (11th place, 38 points) host Osasuna (9th place, 39 points) at San Mamés Barria

La Liga match on April 21, 2026, 7:00 PM

Both teams are closely matched in the mid-table, with Osasuna slightly ahead of Athletic Club

A victory could secure a connection to the upper half of the table for both teams

近期状态

Athletic Club shows a poor current form with LLWLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses)

The team lost its last two games consecutively

Osasuna is more stable with DLWDD (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss) and drew their last two games consecutively

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Athletic Club scores an average of 1.05 goals per home game and concedes 1.0 goal

They kept 3 clean sheets in home matches

Osasuna scores an average of 1.22 goals away but concedes an average of 2.33 goals

They kept 2 clean sheets in away matches

At San Mamés Barria, an average of 2.2 goals were scored in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 60% of the games, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, the record was balanced with 1 win for Athletic Club, 1 win for Osasuna, and 3 draws

The goal difference is 7:7 goals

The last encounter on January 3, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

Gorka Guruzeta is Athletic Club's top scorer with 7 goals and 1 assist

Nico Williams contributed 4 goals and 2 assists, Iñaki Williams scored 2 goals and provided 4 assists

For Osasuna, Ante Budimir is the most prolific scorer with 16 goals

Rubén García contributed 2 goals and 5 assists, while Víctor Muñoz provided 5 goals and 2 assists

门将

Unai Simón in goal for Athletic Club recorded 5 clean sheets in 31 season appearances

Sergio Herrera of Osasuna kept 7 clean sheets in also 31 season appearances

影响因素

Athletic Club shows an average home offense of 1.05 goals and a stable defense with 1.0 goal conceded per game

Osasuna has a high vulnerability away from home, conceding 2.33 goals per game

The natural grass at San Mamés Barria is the usual playing surface

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