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La Liga

Real Oviedo - Villarreal

04/23/2026, 07:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Real Oviedo
0.7
Total xG
2.0
Villarreal
1.2
最可能的比分

0:0

15%

0:1

15%

1:1

14%

0:2

11%

1:0

9%
xG 分解
ROVIL

Real Oviedo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.56倍)
-0.98
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.20
状态上升 (1.6 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
+0.20
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第3位, 相差17位)
-0.13

Villarreal

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.24
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第20位, 相差17位)
+0.09
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.01
Georges Mikautadze替补席 (9球, 5助攻)
Alberto Moleiro替补席 (9球, 4助攻)
Gerard Moreno替补席 (8球, 0助攻)
Santi Comesaña未进大名单 (3球, 5助攻)
Alfonso Pedraza替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
43%进球产出缺失 (仅57%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

21%

平局

33%

客胜

46%

进球数

Over 1.5

60%

Under 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

54%

客胜或平局

79%

非平局

67%

双方进球

39%

61%

关键因素
  • Villarreal is the clear favorite with an away win probability of 46% according to mathematical analysis
  • Villarreal boasts a significantly stronger offense with 1.81 season goals per game compared to Real Oviedo's 0.77 goals
  • Villarreal's counter-attacking strength (5.4 shots on target with 42% possession) meets Real Oviedo's balanced play style
风险因素
  • Villarreal are missing Georges Mikautadze (9T/5A), Alberto Moleiro (9T/4A), Gerard Moreno (8T/0A), Santi Comesaña (3T/5A), Alfonso Pedraza (1T/2A), leaving only 58% of their usual starting XI's goal threat available
  • Real Oviedo scores only an average of 0.78 goals per home game
  • Villarreal concedes an average of 1.92 goals per away game
概述

Real Oviedo (20th place, 27 points) host Villarreal (3rd place, 61 points) at the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

La Liga match on April 23, 2026, 9:30 PM

The hosts are fighting to avoid relegation, while the visitors are competing for a Champions League spot in the table

近期状态

Real Oviedo shows a form of W-D-L-W-W in their last five games (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)

The team managed to win their last two matches

Villarreal has a form of W-D-W-L-W in their last five games (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)

The last match was won

统计数据

Real Oviedo scores an average of 0.77 goals per game and concedes 1.55 goals per game this season

At home, the average is 0.78 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded

The team recorded 9 clean sheets this season

Villarreal scores an average of 1.81 goals per game and concedes 1.16 goals per game this season

Away, the average is 1.83 goals scored and 1.92 goals conceded

The team recorded 8 clean sheets this season

At Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, an average of 1.4 goals per game were scored

Only 1 of 5 matches saw both teams score, and only 1 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between Real Oviedo and Villarreal so far

Villarreal won the only game

The goal difference is 0:2 in favor of Villarreal

The last encounter on August 15, 2025, ended with a 0:2 victory for Villarreal

关键球员

For Real Oviedo, Federico Viñas is a key factor with 9 goals and 1 assist this season and 4 goals in the last 5 games

Alberto Reina contributed 4 goals and 1 assist this season, scoring 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches

Ilyas Chaira recorded 4 goals and 2 assists this season

For Villarreal, Nicolas Pépé is noteworthy with 5 goals and 4 assists in the season and 2 goals in the last 5 games

Tajon Buchanan scored 6 goals and 1 assist this season

Pape Gueye has 4 goals and 2 assists this season

门将

Real Oviedo's goalkeeper, Aarón Escandell, made 31 appearances this season

Real Oviedo achieved 9 clean sheets this season

Villarreal's goalkeeper, Arnau Tenas, played in 3 season matches

Villarreal achieved 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere is a venue with a historically low goal-scoring rate

An average of 1.4 goals per game are scored there

Real Oviedo scored an average of 0.78 goals at home and conceded 1.56 goals

Villarreal scored an average of 1.83 goals away and conceded 1.92 goals

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