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La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol

04/23/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Rayo Vallecano
2.2
Total xG
3.1
Espanyol
0.9
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

1:1

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
RVESP

Rayo Vallecano

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.32
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.14
Álvaro García未进大名单 (4球, 5助攻)
Unai López替补席 (0球, 3助攻)

Espanyol

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.49
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.08
Cyril Ngonge替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Ramón Terrats替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

65%

平局

22%

客胜

13%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

35%

非平局

78%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Rayo's favorite role: Mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 65% and 2.17 expected goals
  • Espanyol's poor form: The visitors are winless in their last 5 games (DLLDL)
  • Espanyol's H2H advantage: Despite current form, Espanyol has won all 3 direct encounters
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for duels in Rayo Vallecano's last 5 matches
  • Limited data availability for duels in Espanyol's last 5 matches
概述

Rayo Vallecano (16th place, 35 points) host Espanyol (11th place, 38 points) at Estadio de Vallecas. The La Liga match takes place on April 23, 2026, 8:00 PM. Rayo aims to extend its distance from the relegation zone, while Espanyol seeks to consolidate its mid-table position

近期状态

Rayo Vallecano's form is LWWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). They recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games, with the last match ending in a defeat. Rayo Vallecano's goal production is faltering recently (1.0 goals on average), while their season average is 1.5 goals. Espanyol's form is DLLDL. The team is winless in their last 5 matches, with 2 draws and 3 losses. Their last encounter resulted in a loss. Espanyol's goal production is also faltering (1.0 goals on average), compared to a season average of 1.3 goals

统计数据

Rayo Vallecano averages 0.94 goals per home game and concedes 0.61 goals. Over the entire season, Rayo scored 29 goals and conceded 38. Espanyol averages 1.19 goals away from home and concedes 1.69 goals. Overall, Espanyol scored 37 goals and conceded 48. Rayo's home matches saw an average of 2.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in only 1 out of 5 matches. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In the 3 recent head-to-head matches, Espanyol dominated with 3 wins compared to 0 for Rayo Vallecano. The goal difference is 1:7 in favor of Espanyol. The last meeting on December 7, 2025, ended 0:1 in favor of Espanyol

关键球员

For Rayo Vallecano, Jorge de Frutos is important with 10 goals, 1 assist, and an average rating of 6.92. Isi Palazón has 3 goals and 3 assists with an average rating of 6.89. Andrei Rațiu, a defender, contributed 3 assists and has a season rating of 6.94. For Espanyol, Edu Expósito is a key player with 1 goal and 6 assists, with an average rating of 7.14. Roberto Fernández scored 6 goals and 2 assists, and Kike García also has 6 goals and 1 assist

门将

Rayo Vallecano's goalkeeper Dani Cárdenas made one appearance this season and Rayo Vallecano achieved 9 clean sheets this season. Espanyol recorded 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Estadio de Vallecas is a significant factor. Rayo Vallecano scored an average of 0.94 home goals and conceded only 0.61 home goals. The stadium recently saw an average of 2.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 1 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches.

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