La Liga
Elche - Atlético de Madrid
04/22/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.9
1.5
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
6%0:2
6%xG 分解
Elche
Atlético de Madrid
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
35%
平局
28%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
65%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Critically weakened Atlético squad: Only 33% of the usual starting XI strength is available, with key players like Julián Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann missing
- Elche's strong home defense: The team concedes only an average of 0.8 goals per game at home
- Balanced pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis sees a very close match with 35% home win and 37% away win probability
风险因素
- Away team fatigue: Atlético Madrid had only 4 days of rest since their last match
- Low shots on target efficiency: Both teams recorded an average of less than 3.5 shots on target in their last 5 games (Elche 3.4, Atlético Madrid 3.2)
- Declining goal production for both teams: Elche's goal production is stagnant (1.0), season average is 1.4; Atlético Madrid's goal production is stagnant (1.4), season average is 2.0
概述
Elche (18th place, 32 points) host Atlético Madrid (4th place, 57 points) at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. The La Liga match is on April 22, 2026, 6:00 PM. Elche are fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle, while Atlético are competing for Champions League spots
近期状态
Elche's form across all competitions is LLWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Their last result was a win
Atlético Madrid's form across all competitions is LWLLD
They registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Their last result was a draw
统计数据
Elche scores an average of 1.26 goals per game this season and concedes 1.52 goals
At home, Elche scores an average of 1.25 goals per game and concedes only 0.8 goals
They kept 7 clean sheets in home games
Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.6 goals per game away and concedes 1.8 goals
They recorded 5 clean sheets in away games
The Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero venue averages 2.4 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, Elche has 0 wins, Atlético Madrid has 1 win, and there has been 1 draw
Elche scored a total of 1 goal, Atlético Madrid scored 5 goals
The last encounter on August 23, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw
Atlético Madrid has dominated recent matchups
关键球员
For Elche, Rafa Mir is a key attacker with 8 season goals, 0 assists, and 1 goal in the last 5 games
Germán Valera contributed 4 season goals and 4 assists, with 1 assist in the last 5 games
André Silva scored 7 season goals and 1 goal in the last 5 games
For Atlético Madrid, Thiago Almada is an important player with 3 season goals, 1 assist, and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Nico González scored 3 season goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Álex Baena has 2 season goals and 2 assists
门将
Elche's goalkeeper Matías Dituro played 15 season matches and shows a stable form trend
Elche's team recorded 7 clean sheets this season
Atlético Madrid's goalkeeper Jan Oblak played in 26 season matches and shows a sharply declining form trend
Atlético Madrid's team achieved 12 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Elche shows a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game
Elche's home record at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero includes a streak of 3 matches with over 1.5 goals
The grass pitch at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero provides standard playing conditions