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La Liga

Mallorca - Valencia

04/21/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Mallorca
1.1
Total xG
2.4
Valencia
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

0:1

10%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
MALVAL

Mallorca

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.20
状态上升 (2 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.20
Mateo Joseph未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Zito Luvumbo未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Valencia

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.28
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03
Luis Rioja替补席 (2球, 5助攻)
Javi Guerra替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Eray Cömert未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

31%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

69%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: Valencia has a higher win probability at 38% compared to Mallorca's 31%
  • Mallorca's improved form: The team is currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 2.0 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.3 goals)
  • Valencia's away weakness: Valencia concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Valencia's high number of away goals conceded (Avg. 2.33 per game)
  • Historically even head-to-head record with 3 draws in 5 matches increases the likelihood of a draw
概述

Mallorca (15th place, 34 points) host Valencia (14th place, 35 points) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

La Liga match on April 21, 2026, 5:00 PM

Both teams are in the lower half of the table, fighting for crucial points

近期状态

Mallorca's form across all competitions is: DWLWW

This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 games

The last match result was a 3-0 win against Rayo Vallecano

The current form shows a positive trend, with an average of 2.0 goals per game recently compared to 1.3 for the season average

Valencia's form across all competitions is: WLWLL

This means 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses in the last 5 games

Valencia recently lost 0-1 against Elche

The form trend is stable and Valencia consistently scores an average of 1.4 goals per game

统计数据

Mallorca scored 39 goals this season (Avg. 1.26 per game) and conceded 48 goals (Avg. 1.55 per game)

Valencia scored 34 goals (Avg. 1.10 per game) and conceded 46 goals (Avg. 1.48 per game)

At home, Mallorca averages 1.24 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per home game

Valencia concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game and scores 1.08 goals

The Estadi Mallorca Son Moix has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games

历史交锋

In the 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams, Mallorca won 1, Valencia won 1, and there were 3 draws

Both teams scored 4 goals each in direct comparisons

The last encounter on December 19, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw

The recent head-to-head record is even

关键球员

Mallorca's offense is led by Vedat Muriqi with 21 season goals and 1 assist, whose form shows a rising trend (5 goals in the last 5 games)

In midfield, Pablo Torre contributes with 3 season goals and 3 assists, his form is also rising (2 goals, 1 assist in the last 5 games)

Sergi Darder has contributed 1 goal and 4 assists this season

For Valencia, Largie Ramazani is the top scorer with 5 season goals and 1 assist

Umar Sadiq was involved in 1 season goal and 2 assists

Guido Rodríguez scored 2 goals this season, with 2 in the last 5 games

门将

Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo Román has appeared in 26 games and kept 4 clean sheets

Valencia's goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski made 13 season appearances and achieved 8 clean sheets

影响因素

Mallorca shows solid home strength with an average of 1.24 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded at home

Analysis of the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix shows an average of 2.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 60% of the last 5 games at the stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%

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