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La Liga

Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Club

05/02/2026, 04:30 PM

2 : 4
预期进球
Deportivo Alavés
1.2
Total xG
2.2
Athletic Club
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

0:1

9%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
DAAC

Deportivo Alavés

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.29
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.29
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
-0.09
Lucas Boyé未进大名单 (11球, 1助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)

Athletic Club

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.46
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.34
排名优势 (第10位 vs 第17位, 相差7位)
+0.03
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.00
Álex Berenguer替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Oihan Sancet替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

33%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

67%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Prediction: The model calculates a 41% win probability for Deportivo Alavés and 27% for Athletic Club
  • Offensive Form: Deportivo Alavés currently scores more frequently (2.4 goals per game) than their season average (1.4 goals per game)
  • Away Defense: Athletic Club concedes an average of 2.07 goals per game away from home
风险因素
  • Athletic Club concedes an average of 2.07 goals per game away from home
  • Deportivo Alavés has only 2 home clean sheets this season
概述

Deportivo Alavés (17th place, 36 points) host Athletic Club (10th place, 41 points) at the Estadio de Mendizorroza. The La Liga match takes place on May 2, 2026, 6:30 PM. Alavés are battling against relegation, while Athletic aims to consolidate its position in the upper mid-table.

近期状态

Deportivo Alavés shows a form of WDDLW in their last five matches. This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last match was a win. Athletic Club has a form of WLLWL, with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses from their last five encounters. Their last match ended in a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Deportivo Alavés scored an average of 1.15 goals per game this season and conceded 1.48 goals. At home, they scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.06 goals per game. Athletic Club averaged 1.09 goals per game and conceded 1.45 goals. Away from home, Athletic Club conceded an average of 2.07 goals per game. The Estadio de Mendizorroza has seen an average of 3.0 goals per game in its last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games (80%), and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games (60%).

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Alavés won 1 time, Athletic Club won 3 times, and 1 match ended in a draw. Alavés scored 2 goals, while Athletic scored 6 goals. The last encounter on September 13, 2025, saw Deportivo Alavés win 1-0 away against Athletic Club.

关键球员

For Deportivo Alavés, Toni Martínez is a key player with 11 season goals and 3 assists, scoring 5 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rising form. Abde Rebbach contributed 1 goal and 2 assists this season and showed a rising form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games. Ángel Pérez recorded 1 goal and 2 assists this season and maintained stable form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games. For Athletic Club, Gorka Guruzeta is an important attacker with 9 season goals and 1 assist, scoring 3 goals in the last 5 games. Nico Williams scored 4 season goals and 2 assists. Iñaki Williams contributed 2 season goals and 4 assists, with 2 assists in the last 5 games.

门将

Deportivo Alavés goalkeeper Antonio Sivera recorded 3 clean sheets this season. Athletic Club goalkeeper Unai Simón has 6 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Deportivo Alavés has a home advantage, as the team scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.06 goals at home. The Estadio de Mendizorroza is known for matches with an average of 3.0 goals, an 80% BTTS rate, and a 60% Over 2.5 rate.

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