La Liga
Celta de Vigo - Elche
05/03/2026, 12:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
11%2:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Celta de Vigo
Elche
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
30%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Contrasting forms: Celta de Vigo recorded five consecutive losses, while Elche won four of their last five matches
- Visiting team's defensive weakness: Elche concedes an average of 2.67 goals per away game, making their defense vulnerable
- Model prediction: Despite Celta de Vigo's poor form, the mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 43% probability and 1.37 expected home goals
风险因素
- Celta de Vigo's offensive struggles: The home team averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- High goal average at the stadium: Estadio de Balaídos saw an average of 3.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches, suggesting an open game
概述
Celta de Vigo (6th place, 44 points) hosts Elche (14th place, 38 points) at Estadio de Balaídos
La Liga match on May 3, 2026, 2:00 PM
Celta de Vigo aims to consolidate its position in the European qualification spots, while Elche strives to move away from the relegation zone
近期状态
Celta de Vigo shows a concerning form with five losses in their last five games (L L L L L)
Recent results include a 1-2 away loss against Villarreal and a 0-1 away loss against FC Barcelona
At home, Celta lost 1-3 to SC Freiburg and 0-3 to Real Oviedo
Elche, on the other hand, presents strong form with four wins and one loss in their last five games (W L W W W)
The team won 2-1 away against Real Oviedo and 3-2 at home against Atlético Madrid
They defeated Valencia 1-0 at home and Mallorca 2-1 at home
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Celta de Vigo averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded
Elche recorded an average of 1.33 goals scored and 1.52 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Elche conceded an average of 2.67 goals per game while scoring 1.33
At Estadio de Balaídos, the last five matches saw an average of 3.8 total goals per game
In 80% of these games, both teams scored (BTTS), and in 80% there were over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There has only been one direct encounter between these two teams so far
Elche won this away match 2-1 on September 28, 2025
Historically, Elche dominated in this sole meeting
关键球员
Celta de Vigo relies on Ferran Jutglà, who contributed 7 goals and 2 assists this season, but recently showed a declining form
Iago Aspas scored 4 goals and 3 assists this season and maintains a stable form
Hugo Álvarez contributed 3 goals and 1 assist to the offense, showing stable form
Not nominated are Borja Iglesias (12 goals, 2 assists), Óscar Mingueza (1 goal, 4 assists), and Pablo Durán (2 goals, 2 assists)
For Elche, André Silva is the top scorer with 9 goals and shows stable form, with 2 goals in his last 4 games
Álvaro Rodríguez shined with 5 goals and 5 assists, but his form is declining
Aleix Febas scored 2 goals and 3 assists, his form is stable
Not nominated are Rafa Mir (8 goals, 0 assists) and Germán Valera (4 goals, 4 assists)
门将
Celta de Vigo's goalkeeper, Ionuț Radu, recorded 8 clean sheets this season
Ionuț Radu's current form is declining
Elche's goalkeeper Matías Dituro registered 7 clean sheets this season
Matías Dituro shows stable form
影响因素
Estadio de Balaídos is known for high-scoring encounters, with an average of 3.8 goals per game in the last five matches
80% of games saw both teams score and 80% had over 2.5 goals
Celta de Vigo averages 1.35 goals scored at home but concedes 1.41 goals
Elche struggles defensively away from home, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game