La Liga
Espanyol - Real Madrid
05/03/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.9
1.8
1:1
12%1:2
10%0:2
9%2:1
6%1:3
6%xG 分解
Espanyol
Real Madrid
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
23%
平局
26%
客胜
51%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
49%
客胜或平局
77%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Real Madrid has a high win probability of 51% according to mathematical analysis
- Real Madrid shows a significantly stronger offense with an average of 2.06 goals per game compared to Espanyol's 1.12 goals
- Recent head-to-head matches have been dominated by Real Madrid
风险因素
- Real Madrid are missing Kylian Mbappé, Arda Güler, and Éder Militão, with only 61% of usual goal threat available
- Espanyol averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Real Madrid's goal production has recently stalled with 1.6 goals compared to their season average of 2.2 goals
概述
Espanyol (12th place, 39 points) host Real Madrid (2nd place, 74 points) at the RCDE Stadium
This La Liga match is scheduled for May 3, 2026, 9:00 PM
Real Madrid are fighting to close the gap to the top of the table, while Espanyol needs crucial points in the relegation battle
近期状态
Espanyol's form in the last five matches is LDLLD
This includes 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
Their last match ended in a draw
Real Madrid's form over the last five games is LDLWD
They recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Their most recent game was also a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Espanyol averaged 1.12 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.48 goals
They kept 9 clean sheets
Real Madrid scored an average of 2.06 goals per game and conceded 0.94 goals
They achieved 11 clean sheets
The RCDE Stadium averages 1.8 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, Espanyol secured 1 win and Real Madrid claimed 2 wins
Espanyol scored 2 goals in these encounters, while Real Madrid scored 6 goals
The last meeting on September 20, 2025, ended with a 0-2 victory for Real Madrid
Real Madrid have been the dominant team in recent direct clashes
关键球员
For Espanyol, key players include Roberto Fernández, Carlos Romero, and Edu Expósito
Roberto Fernández, an attacker, scored 6 goals and 2 assists this season, with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Carlos Romero, a defender, contributed 5 goals and 2 assists this season
Edu Expósito, a midfielder, provided 1 goal and 6 assists this season
For Real Madrid, key players are Vinicius Junior, Federico Valverde, and Jude Bellingham
Vinicius Junior, an attacker, scored 13 goals and 5 assists this season, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Federico Valverde, a midfielder, recorded 5 goals and 8 assists this season, with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Jude Bellingham, a midfielder, scored 4 goals and 3 assists this season
门将
Manuel Iori is the primary goalkeeper for Espanyol
Andriy Lunin is the designated goalkeeper for Real Madrid
Espanyol recorded 9 clean sheets this season
Real Madrid kept 11 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Espanyol scored an average of 1.12 goals at home and conceded 1.31 goals
Real Madrid scored an average of 2.07 goals away and conceded 1.21 goals
The RCDE Stadium averages 1.8 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches at this stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches