La Liga
Getafe - Rayo Vallecano
05/03/2026, 02:15 PM
预期进球
0.9
1.7
0.8
0:0
20%1:1
15%1:0
14%0:1
14%2:0
7%xG 分解
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
38%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
52%
Under 1.5
48%
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
Over 3.5
9%
Under 3.5
91%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
63%
双方进球
是
34%
否
66%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis shows a high probability of 70% for a home win or a draw
- Rayo Vallecano suffers from a weak away defense, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game
- Getafe displays a solid home defense, conceding only 0.81 goals per game
风险因素
- Rayo Vallecano plays with reduced starting lineup strength (77% of usual strength) and only 21% of the usual assist production
- Rayo Vallecano has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Getafe averaged only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Getafe (7th place, 44 points) host Rayo Vallecano (11th place, 39 points) at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
La Liga match on May 3, 2026, 4:15 PM
Getafe is fighting for European spots, while Rayo could climb in the mid-table
近期状态
Getafe's form across all competitions: WWLWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
The home team lost their last match
Rayo Vallecano's form: LLWDW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
The visitors won their last match
统计数据
Getafe scores an average of 0.85 goals and concedes 1.03 goals per game
At home, the average is 0.88 goals scored and 0.81 goals conceded
Getafe kept 10 clean sheets
Rayo Vallecano scores an average of 1.00 goal and concedes 1.24 goals per game
Away, the average is 1.00 goal scored and 2.25 goals conceded
Rayo Vallecano also kept 10 clean sheets
At the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, the last 5 matches averaged 2.0 goals per game
In only 1 of 5 games did both teams score, and only 1 of 5 games had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Getafe has 0 wins, Rayo Vallecano has 2 wins, and there were 3 draws
Getafe scored 1 goal in total, while Rayo Vallecano scored 4 goals
The last match on January 2, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw
Rayo Vallecano dominated recent encounters
关键球员
For Getafe, Luis Milla (9 assists) is an important midfielder
Mauro Arambarri has 6 season goals, with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Attacker Martín Satriano scored 4 season goals
For Rayo Vallecano, Jorge de Frutos is crucial with 10 season goals
Sergio Camello scored 2 goals in the last 5 games and Alexandre Zurawski also scored 2 goals in the last 5 games
门将
Getafe's goalkeeper David Soria played 33 season games and kept 10 clean sheets
Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano was in goal for 30 season games and also recorded 10 clean sheets
影响因素
Getafe shows strong defensive performance at home with an average of 0.81 goals conceded
The Coliseum Alfonso Pérez recorded an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with a low probability for both teams to score (1 out of 5 games) and for over 2.5 goals (1 out of 5 games)