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La Liga

Villarreal - Levante

05/02/2026, 12:00 PM

5 : 1
预期进球
Villarreal
2.3
Total xG
3.1
Levante
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

2:1

10%

1:1

10%

3:0

9%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
VILLEV

Villarreal

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍)
+0.84
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第19位, 相差16位)
+0.16
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.01
Pape Gueye替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
Santiago Mouriño替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Levante

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.27
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第3位, 相差16位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.05
Adrián Dela未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Manu Sánchez替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

69%

平局

20%

客胜

11%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

89%

客胜或平局

31%

非平局

80%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Favorite role: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Villarreal with 69%
  • Home strength: Villarreal averages 1.8 goals scored and only 0.7 goals conceded at home
  • Offensive performance: Villarreal scores consistently (~1.6 goals per game)
  • Squad absences: For Villarreal, Pape Gueye (4G/2A) and Santiago Mouriño (1G/2A) are not nominated
  • Squad absences: For Levante, Adrián Dela (2G/1A) and Manu Sánchez (1G/2A) are not nominated
风险因素
  • Levante shows a positive attacking form trend, currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.2)
  • Villarreal lost the only direct encounter against Levante with a 0-1 score
概述

Villarreal (3rd place, 65 points) host Levante (19th place, 33 points) at the Estadio de la Cerámica. The La Liga match takes place on May 2, 2026, 2:00 PM. Villarreal aims to consolidate its top table positions, while Levante needs crucial points in the relegation battle.

近期状态

Villarreal's form in the last 5 games is WLWDW

Levante's form in the last 5 games is WLWWD

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Villarreal achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The last result was a 2-1 win against Celta de Vigo

Levante recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The last result was a 0-0 draw against Espanyol

统计数据

Villarreal scores an average of 1.79 goals per game and concedes 1.15 goals per game this season

Villarreal kept 8 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 20 matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 matches

Levante scores an average of 1.12 goals per game and concedes 1.52 goals per game this season

Levante kept 8 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 15 matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 13 matches

The Estadio de la Cerámica sees an average of 3.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games

Over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 games

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between the teams

Levante has 1 win, Villarreal has 0 wins

There have been 0 draws

Levante scored 1 goal, Villarreal scored 0 goals

The last encounter on February 18, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Levante

关键球员

Georges Mikautadze is a key attacker for Villarreal with 9 goals and 5 assists

Alberto Moleiro contributed 9 goals and 4 assists

Gerard Moreno is also a decisive player with 9 goals

For Levante, Carlos Espí is an important offensive player with 8 goals

Iván Romero scored 7 goals and 1 assist

Carlos Álvarez is involved with 3 goals and 1 assist

门将

Villarreal's goalkeeper, Arnau Tenas, played 5 season games

Mathew Ryan, Levante's goalkeeper, played 31 season games

Villarreal kept 8 clean sheets this season

Levante kept 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Villarreal shows a strong performance at home with an average of 1.8 goals scored and only 0.7 goals conceded per home game

The Estadio de la Cerámica is known for high-scoring games with an average of 3.2 goals per match

The pitch surface is grass

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