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La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Girona

05/11/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Rayo Vallecano
1.9
Total xG
2.9
Girona
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
RVGIR

Rayo Vallecano

最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第11位 vs 第17位, 相差6位)
+0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Isi Palazón未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)
Alfonso Espino替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Alexandre Zurawski替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Girona

排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第11位, 相差6位)
-0.06
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.04
Claudio Echeverri替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

25%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

75%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Current Form: Rayo Vallecano has 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 games, while Girona recorded 3 losses and 1 draw
  • Mathematical Prediction: The model predicts a home win with 58% probability and expects 1.92 home goals
  • Home and Away Strength: Rayo Vallecano has a strong home defense (avg. 0.7 goals conceded), while Girona is vulnerable away (avg. 1.62 goals conceded)
风险因素
  • Rayo Vallecano had a short recovery window with only 4 days since their last match
  • Girona averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Rayo Vallecano (11th place, 42 points) host Girona (17th place, 38 points) at the Estadio de Vallecas. The La Liga match takes place on May 11, 2026, 9:00 PM. Girona are close to the relegation zone and desperately need points to secure their league status.

近期状态

Rayo Vallecano are in excellent form, with a WDWWW record in their last five matches, comprising 4 wins and 1 draw. The team has achieved 3 consecutive wins recently. Girona, in contrast, shows poor form with WDLLL, which means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. The away team has suffered 3 consecutive defeats recently. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Rayo Vallecano scores an average of 1.03 goals per game and concedes 1.21 goals per game this season. At home, they are particularly strong defensively, conceding an average of only 0.7 goals per home match. Girona scores an average of 1.06 goals and concedes 1.5 goals per match. Away from home, their average goals conceded is 1.62. Rayo Vallecano's home matches at Estadio de Vallecas average 2.4 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 1 of 5 matches and 2 of 5 matches ending with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In the 5 head-to-head matches played so far, the record between Rayo Vallecano and Girona is even. Both teams have secured 2 wins each, with 1 match ending in a draw. The goal difference stands at 6:8 in favor of Girona. The last encounter saw Girona win 3-1 on August 15, 2025.

关键球员

For Rayo Vallecano, Jorge de Frutos (10 goals, 1 assist, average rating 6.91), Sergio Camello (3 goals, 0 assists, average rating 6.6, form: rising with 3 goals in last 5 games) and Florian Lejeune (1 goal, 1 assist, average rating 7.09, form: stable with 1 goal in last 5 games) are important players. For Girona, Viktor Tsygankov (6 goals, 4 assists, average rating 7.12), Azzedine Ounahi (5 goals, 2 assists, average rating 7.26) and Joel Roca (3 goals, 1 assist, average rating 6.57) stand out. All three show stable form with 1 goal each in their last 5 games.

门将

Rayo Vallecano's goalkeeper, Augusto Batalla, has played 31 matches this season. His team kept 11 clean sheets this season. For Girona, Paulo Gazzaniga also played in 31 season matches. His team achieved 6 clean sheets.

影响因素

Rayo Vallecano benefits from a noticeable home advantage, as the team concedes an average of only 0.7 goals per game at home. The Estadio de Vallecas stadium sees an average of 2.4 goals per match. According to statistics, only 20% of games here end with both teams scoring, and 40% end with over 2.5 goals.

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