La Liga
FC Barcelona - Real Madrid
05/10/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.5
1.5
2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%3:1
6%3:2
5%xG 分解
FC Barcelona
Real Madrid
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
24%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
69%
否
31%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for FC Barcelona with 47%
- FC Barcelona is in excellent form with 5 consecutive wins
- FC Barcelona's home strength is evident with an average of 2.6 goals scored and 0.45 goals conceded per home game
风险因素
- Kylian Mbappé, Federico Valverde, Éder Militão are missing for Real Madrid, with only 62% of goal threat available
- FC Barcelona's goal production is stagnant (2.2), while the season average is 2.6
- Real Madrid's goal production is stagnant (1.8), while the season average is 2.2
概述
FC Barcelona (1st place, 88 points) host Real Madrid (2nd place, 77 points) at Camp Nou. The La Liga match is on May 10, 2026, 9:00 PM. This is a top-of-the-table clash where FC Barcelona aims to extend their lead
近期状态
FC Barcelona's form is excellent with 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses in their last 5 matches (WWWWW). They are in top form with 5 consecutive wins. Real Madrid has achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches (DLWDW). They managed a win in their last outing. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
FC Barcelona averages 2.62 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded per season. At home, they average 2.6 goals scored and 0.45 goals conceded. Real Madrid averages 2.06 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded per season. Away from home, they average 2.07 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded. FC Barcelona recorded 14 clean sheets, Real Madrid 12. At Camp Nou, an average of 3.6 total goals were scored per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 40% of the games, and 40% of the games ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the 5 direct encounters, FC Barcelona secured 3 wins, Real Madrid had 2 wins, and there were 0 draws. FC Barcelona scored 14 goals, while Real Madrid scored 10 goals. The last meeting was won by Real Madrid 2-1 on October 26, 2025. The home team (FC Barcelona) has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches
关键球员
Ferran Torres is a key attacking player for FC Barcelona with 15 goals and 1 assist in 30 season appearances, his form is rising with 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Marcus Rashford contributed with 7 goals and 8 assists in 29 season appearances, recently with 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games. Fermín López has scored 6 goals and provided 9 assists in 28 season appearances and showed stable form in the last 5 games with 1 goal and 1 assist. For Real Madrid, Vinicius Junior is crucial with 15 goals and 5 assists in 33 season appearances, his form is rising with 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 games. Jude Bellingham recorded 4 goals and 4 assists in 24 season appearances and contributed 1 assist in the last 5 games. Gonzalo García scored 4 goals and 1 assist in 26 season appearances, with 1 assist in his last 3 appearances
门将
Joan García is in goal for FC Barcelona and has recorded 14 clean sheets this season. Thibaut Courtois is Real Madrid's goalkeeper and has kept 12 clean sheets
影响因素
FC Barcelona enjoys a clear home advantage at Camp Nou, averaging 2.6 home goals scored and only 0.45 goals conceded. Real Madrid scores 2.07 goals away and concedes 1.13 goals. At Camp Nou, an average of 3.6 total goals were scored per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 40% of the games, and 40% of the games ended with over 2.5 goals