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La Liga

Mallorca - Villarreal

05/10/2026, 12:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Mallorca
1.0
Total xG
2.2
Villarreal
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

12%

1:0

9%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
MALVIL

Mallorca

排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第3位, 相差13位)
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.09
Pablo Maffeo未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

Villarreal

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.19
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.09
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第16位, 相差13位)
+0.08
Georges Mikautadze替补席 (11球, 5助攻)
Nicolas Pépé替补席 (8球, 6助攻)
Alberto Moleiro替补席 (10球, 4助攻)
Gerard Moreno替补席 (9球, 0助攻)
Pape Gueye替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
Alfonso Pedraza替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
52%进球产出缺失 (仅59%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.7球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

32%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

68%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 41% probability
  • Villarreal shows strong current form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games
  • Villarreal dominates head-to-head matches, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters against Mallorca
风险因素
  • Villarreal's attacking strength is significantly reduced, with only 60% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available (including Georges Mikautadze, Nicolas Pépé, Alberto Moleiro, Gerard Moreno, Pape Gueye, Alfonso Pedraza)
  • Villarreal concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
概述

Mallorca (16th place, 38 points) host Villarreal (3rd place, 68 points) at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. La Liga match on May 10, 2026, 2:00 PM. Villarreal is fighting for a top spot, while Mallorca is in the mid-table.

近期状态

Mallorca's form in the last five games is W, W, D, L, W, which corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their last match ended in a win. Villarreal's form in the last five games is L, W, D, W, W, showing 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The team has won their last two consecutive matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Mallorca has scored an average of 1.24 goals and conceded 1.5 goals per game this season. At home, they score 1.23 goals and concede 0.91 goals per home game. Villarreal is stronger offensively, averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.15 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Villarreal averages 1.92 goals scored but concedes 2.0 goals per away game. The Estadi Mallorca Son Moix has seen an average of 2.4 goals in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games.

历史交锋

In the previous 5 head-to-head matches over the last two years, Mallorca has not managed a single win. Villarreal won 4 of these encounters, with 1 match ending in a draw. The goal difference stands at 3:10 in favor of Villarreal. The last meeting on November 22, 2025, saw Villarreal win 2-1 away.

关键球员

For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi is a key offensive player with 21 season goals and 1 assist. His form is stable with an average rating of 7.18. Samú Costa has scored 7 goals and provided 2 assists, showing good performance with a rising form trend and a rating of 6.89. Sergi Darder contributes to the midfield with 1 goal and 5 assists, a rising form, and a rating of 7.01. On Villarreal's side, Santi Comesaña is a key midfielder with 3 goals and 6 assists, stable form, and a rating of 6.89. Tajon Buchanan contributed 7 goals and 1 assist, also with stable form and a rating of 6.75. Sergi Cardona is an important defender with 1 goal, 4 assists, and a rating of 6.80.

门将

Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo Román has achieved 5 clean sheets in 29 season appearances with an average rating of 6.87. Villarreal recorded 8 clean sheets this season. Goalkeeper Arnau Tenas played in 6 games and has an average rating of 6.56.

影响因素

Mallorca exhibits a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.91 goals per home game. Their offense is rather moderate with 1.23 goals per home game. The Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is a venue where an average of 2.4 goals per game are scored, and both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches.

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