🇪🇸

La Liga

Real Oviedo - Getafe

05/10/2026, 04:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Real Oviedo
1.0
Total xG
1.8
Getafe
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

18%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

12%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
ROGET

Real Oviedo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-0.57
排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第8位, 相差12位)
-0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.2 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
+0.09
全员可用

Getafe

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.46
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
-0.09
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第20位, 相差12位)
+0.05
Luis Vázquez替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Adrián Liso替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Kiko Femenía未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅97%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

36%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

57%

Under 1.5

43%

Over 2.5

28%

Under 2.5

72%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

64%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability for a Real Oviedo home win or draw (72%)
  • Real Oviedo's form trend shows a positive development, while Getafe has a negative form tendency
  • Real Oviedo is currently scoring more frequently (1.2) than their season average (0.9), while Getafe's goal production has stalled (0.6)
风险因素
  • Getafe averaged only 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
  • Real Oviedo scores only 0.75 home goals per game on average this season
  • Real Oviedo lost the last head-to-head match at home 0-2 against Getafe on September 13, 2025
概述

Real Oviedo (20th place, 28 points) hosts Getafe (8th place, 44 points) at the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. La Liga match on May 10, 2026, 6:30 PM. Real Oviedo is at the bottom of the table fighting relegation, while Getafe occupies a mid-table position.

近期状态

Real Oviedo has a recent form of WWDLL in their last five league matches, which includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last result was a loss. Getafe shows a form of WLWLL, with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five games. Getafe also suffered two consecutive losses recently. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Real Oviedo scores an average of 0.76 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.59 goals. At home, their average is 0.75 goals scored and 1.42 goals conceded per home game. The team kept 9 clean sheets this season. Getafe averages 0.82 goals per game and concedes 1.06 goals. Away from home, Getafe also scores 0.82 goals, but concedes 1.24 goals per away game. Getafe recorded 10 clean sheets overall this season. Real Oviedo saw both teams score in 12 matches (35%), while Getafe had both teams score in 10 matches (29%).

历史交锋

Real Oviedo and Getafe have only met once before. Getafe won this away fixture 0-2 on September 13, 2025. This makes Getafe the dominant team in head-to-head encounters.

关键球员

For Real Oviedo, Federico Viñas with 9 goals and 1 assist in 30 season appearances, and Ilyas Chaira with 6 goals and 2 assists in 32 season appearances, are crucial offensively. Both show a rising form trend. Alberto Reina contributed 4 goals and 2 assists in 33 season appearances, also with a rising form. For Getafe, Luis Milla is an important assist provider with 9 assists in 33 season appearances, though his form is declining. Mauro Arambarri scored 6 goals and 2 assists in 33 season appearances, with his form also declining. Martín Satriano has 4 goals and 1 assist in 15 season appearances, and his form is declining as well. Not nominated for Getafe are Luis Vázquez (3G/0A), Adrián Liso (3G/0A), and Kiko Femenía (1G/1A).

门将

Real Oviedo's goalkeeper, Aarón Escandell, played 34 season matches and kept 9 clean sheets. David Soria, Getafe's goalkeeper, also appeared in 34 season matches and achieved 10 clean sheets.

影响因素

The Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere has an average of 1.6 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 1 out of 5 matches. Real Oviedo scores an average of 0.75 goals at home and concedes 1.42 goals.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。