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La Liga

Sevilla - Espanyol

05/09/2026, 02:15 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Sevilla
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Espanyol
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
xG 分解
SEVESP

Sevilla

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.14
Akor Adams替补席 (8球, 4助攻)
Oso替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Juanlu Sánchez替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)

Espanyol

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.48
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.29
状态下滑 (0.3 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.26
Kike García替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
Pol Lozano替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Cyril Ngonge未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅91%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

28%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

72%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Sevilla with a 51% probability
  • Espanyol shows a negative form trend with 0 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games
  • Espanyol's goal production has recently stalled, averaging 0.33 goals compared to their season average of 1.18
风险因素
  • Sevilla recently averaged only 1.8 shots on target (homeTacticalMetrics)
  • Espanyol recently averaged only 2.6 shots on target (awayTacticalMetrics)
  • Espanyol has a negative form trend in goals conceded, averaging 2.33 goals conceded in recent games compared to their season average of 1.61 (advancedStats)
概述

Sevilla (17th place, 37 points) host Espanyol (13th place, 39 points) at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

The La Liga match is on May 9, 2026, 4:15 PM

Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the lower half of the table

近期状态

Sevilla's form across all competitions shows 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses (LWLLW)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

They won their last match 1-0 against Real Sociedad

Espanyol's form across all competitions shows 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses (DLLDL)

They lost their last match 0-2 against Real Madrid

Espanyol has a losing streak of 1 game

统计数据

Sevilla averages 1.21 goals scored per game and concedes 1.62 goals this season

At home, their average is 1.22 goals scored and 1.28 goals conceded per home game

Espanyol averages 1.09 goals scored per game and concedes 1.50 goals

Away, Espanyol averages 1.12 goals scored and concedes 1.65 goals per away game

Sevilla kept 6 clean sheets, while Espanyol kept 9 clean sheets

At Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, an average of 2.0 goals are scored per game

In 3 of 5 matches at this stadium, both teams scored, and 1 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

There have been 3 head-to-head matches between Sevilla and Espanyol

Sevilla won 1 match, Espanyol won 1 match, and 1 match ended in a draw

Sevilla scored a total of 4 goals, while Espanyol scored 3 goals

The last encounter on November 24, 2025, ended 1-2 in favor of Espanyol

The recent head-to-head record is even

关键球员

For Sevilla, the starting lineup includes: Neal Maupay with 2 goals and 1 assist, most recently 1 goal and 1 assist in 3 games with a rising form trend

Rubén Vargas scored 3 goals and 5 assists, most recently 0 goals and 1 assist in 5 games with a stable form trend

Nemanja Gudelj has 2 goals, most recently 1 goal in 5 games with a stable form trend

Not nominated for Sevilla are Akor Adams (8G/4A), Oso (1G/3A), and Juanlu Sánchez (0G/3A)

For Espanyol, the starting lineup includes: Roberto Fernández with 6 goals and 2 assists, most recently 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games with a stable form trend

Carlos Romero scored 5 goals and 2 assists, most recently 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games with a stable form trend

Edu Expósito with 1 goal and 6 assists, most recently 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games with a stable form trend

Not nominated for Espanyol are Kike García (6G/1A), Pol Lozano (2G/1A), and Cyril Ngonge (0G/2A)

门将

Sevilla's goalkeeper, Odysseas Vlachodimos, has recorded 6 clean sheets this season

Manuel Iori, Espanyol's goalkeeper, achieved 9 clean sheets

影响因素

At Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, the average is 2.0 goals per game

In 3 of 5 matches at this stadium, both teams scored, and 1 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

Sevilla averages 1.22 goals scored at home and concedes 1.28 goals

Espanyol averages 1.12 goals scored away and concedes 1.65 goals

The venue surface is natural grass

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