La Liga
Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo
05/09/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Atlético Madrid
Celta de Vigo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
29%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis shows a home win probability of 40%, but a draw (29%) or away win (31%) are also likely outcomes.
- Form Contrast: Atlético Madrid shows mixed form (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Celta de Vigo has a weaker record with 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 games.
- Historical Record: Atlético Madrid dominated the last 5 head-to-head matches with 3 wins and 2 draws, remaining unbeaten.
风险因素
- Fatigue: Atlético Madrid had only 4 days of rest since their last match.
- Celta's Recent Defense: In recent games, Celta de Vigo conceded an average of 2.0 goals, significantly higher than their season average of 1.29 goals conceded.
- Atlético's Recent Offense: Atlético Madrid's recent goal production (1.6) is below their season average (1.71).
概述
Atlético Madrid (4th place, 63 points) host Celta de Vigo (6th place, 47 points) at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in a La Liga match on May 9, 2026, 6:30 PM. Both teams are fighting for their positions in the upper half of the table. Atlético aims to secure a Champions League spot, while Celta seeks qualification for European competitions.
近期状态
Atlético Madrid's form across all competitions is LWDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. Celta de Vigo shows a form of LLLLW. They achieved 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses in their last 5 games.
统计数据
Atlético Madrid averages 1.71 goals scored per game and concedes 1.09 goals. At home, these values improve to 1.73 goals scored and only 0.73 goals conceded per home game. Celta de Vigo averages 1.41 goals per game and 1.29 goals conceded. Away from home, Celta averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded. The Riyadh Air Metropolitano has seen an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in all 5 games and 3 out of 5 games having over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid dominated with 3 wins compared to 0 for Celta de Vigo, with 2 draws. Atlético Madrid scored a total of 7 goals, while Celta de Vigo managed 2 goals. The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on October 5, 2025.
关键球员
For Atlético Madrid, Alexander Sørloth (12 goals, 0 assists), Antoine Griezmann (7 goals, 2 assists), and Ademola Lookman (2 goals, 0 assists with rising form) are key offensive players. For Celta de Vigo, Borja Iglesias (13 goals, 2 assists), Williot Swedberg (4 goals, 4 assists), and Óscar Mingueza (1 goal, 4 assists) stand out.
门将
Atlético Madrid's goalkeeper Jan Oblak has kept 13 clean sheets this season, with 7 of those coming in home games. Ionuț Radu, Celta de Vigo's goalkeeper, recorded 8 clean sheets, 5 of which were in away games.
影响因素
Atlético Madrid shows strong home performance with an average of 1.73 goals scored and only 0.73 goals conceded per home game, indicating a significant home advantage. At the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, the last 5 matches averaged 3.0 goals per game. In all 5 of these matches, both teams scored, and 3 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals.