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La Liga

Celta de Vigo - Levante

05/12/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Celta de Vigo
1.4
Total xG
2.4
Levante
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

11%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
CDVLEV

Celta de Vigo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.27
防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.24
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.10
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第19位, 相差13位)
+0.09
Borja Iglesias替补席 (14球, 2助攻)
Óscar Mingueza替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
Pablo Durán替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Ilaix Moriba替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Levante

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第6位, 相差13位)
-0.15
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
+0.01
Iván Romero替补席 (7球, 1助攻)
Manu Sánchez替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

30%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

70%

双方进球

50%

51%

关键因素
  • Levante's rising offensive form: Levante scores more frequently (1.8) recently than their season average (1.3)
  • Celta's home advantage: The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 45%
  • Stadium statistics: Estadio de Balaídos averages 4.0 goals per game, and both teams score frequently
风险因素
  • Fatigue: Celta de Vigo had only 3 days rest since their last match
  • Offensive weakness: Celta de Vigo averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Away defense: Levante concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away game
概述

Celta de Vigo (6th place, 50 points) host Levante (19th place, 36 points) at Estadio de Balaídos. La Liga match on May 12, 2026, 7:00 PM. Celta is fighting for a European spot, while Levante is battling against relegation.

近期状态

Celta de Vigo has shown a form of LLLWW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses) in their last five matches. Levante, on the other hand, presented a better form in their last five games with WWDLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.40 goals and concedes 1.26 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.37 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded. Levante averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.63 goals conceded per game this season. Away, they concede an average of 1.93 goals. At Estadio de Balaídos, an average of 4.0 goals per game are scored. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games.

历史交锋

Historically, there has been 1 head-to-head match between Celta de Vigo and Levante. Celta de Vigo won 1 of these matches, while Levante recorded 0 wins and there were 0 draws. The last match ended 2:1 for Levante on November 2, 2025.

关键球员

For Celta de Vigo, Ferran Jutglà is an important offensive force with 7 season goals and 3 assists, though his form is currently declining. Iago Aspas scored 5 season goals and 3 assists. Hugo Álvarez is another offensive player with 4 season goals and 1 assist, showing stable form recently. For Levante, Carlos Espí is the top scorer with 9 season goals and is in stable form. Pablo Martínez contributed 1 goal and 4 assists. Víctor García shows a strong rising form with 2 goals in 4 games.

门将

Ionuț Radu is the goalkeeper for Celta de Vigo and recorded 9 clean sheets this season. Mathew Ryan guards the goal for Levante and achieved 8 clean sheets in the current campaign.

影响因素

Celta de Vigo has scored 26 goals and conceded 25 goals in home games, indicating a home advantage. Estadio de Balaídos has a high goal average of 4.0 goals per game. Additionally, over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of matches at the stadium, and both teams scored in 80% of matches.

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