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La Liga

Girona - Real Sociedad

05/14/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Girona
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Real Sociedad
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
GIRRS

Girona

排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第8位, 相差11位)
-0.17
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.04
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.02
Thomas Lemar未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Alejandro Francés替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅96%可用)

Real Sociedad

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.31
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.07
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第19位, 相差11位)
+0.07
Orri Óskarsson未进大名单 (7球, 0助攻)
Takefusa Kubo替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Jon Gorrotxategi替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Sergio Gómez替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

29%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Real Sociedad's goal threat is reduced to 87% of usual starting XI strength due to missing key players like O. Óskarsson and T. Kubo
  • Real Sociedad shows high defensive vulnerability with an average of 2.15 goals conceded per away game
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a close match, with home team Girona having a slightly higher win probability of 37% compared to Real Sociedad's 34%
风险因素
  • Girona had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Real Sociedad averaged 4.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, which is considered average
  • Real Sociedad is without O. Óskarsson (Yellow Card Suspension) and G. Ganchinho Guedes (doubtful), reducing active goal threat to 87%
概述

Girona (19th place, 39 points) hosts Real Sociedad (8th place, 44 points) at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi. The La Liga match takes place on May 14, 2026, 8:00 PM. Girona is fighting to avoid relegation, while Real Sociedad is positioned in the mid-table.

近期状态

Girona's current form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) is DLLLD, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last five matches. Their last game was a 1:1 draw against Rayo Vallecano. Real Sociedad's form is DLDLD, showing 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last five outings. Their most recent match ended in a 2:2 draw against Real Betis. According to Advanced Stats, both teams exhibit a negative recent form trend.

统计数据

Girona has averaged 1.06 goals scored per game and conceded 1.49 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.06 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded per home game. Girona kept 6 clean sheets this season, with 5 at home. Real Sociedad averages 1.54 goals scored and concedes 1.57 goals per game. Away from home, they average 1.54 goals scored but concede a high 2.15 goals per away game. Real Sociedad achieved 3 clean sheets this season, with only 1 away. At the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 matches. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches.

历史交锋

In 5 direct encounters, Girona recorded 1 win, Real Sociedad 2 wins, and there were 2 draws. Girona scored a total of 5 goals, while Real Sociedad scored 6 goals in these matches. The last head-to-head on December 12, 2025, ended in a 2:1 victory for Girona at Real Sociedad.

关键球员

For Girona, Viktor Tsygankov (6 goals, 5 assists this season), Azzedine Ounahi (5 goals, 2 assists this season), and Arnau Martínez (1 goal, 2 assists this season) are key players. Real Sociedad's prominent players include Mikel Oyarzabal (15 goals, 3 assists this season), Ander Barrenetxea (3 goals, 5 assists this season), and Carlos Soler (4 goals, 3 assists this season).

门将

Girona's goalkeeper Paulo Gazzaniga recorded 6 clean sheets in 32 season appearances. Álex Remiro of Real Sociedad registered 3 clean sheets in 35 appearances. Real Sociedad kept only one clean sheet away from home, compared to Girona's five at home.

影响因素

Home team Girona averages 1.06 home goals scored and concedes 1.39 goals per home game. At the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, an average of 2.6 goals were scored in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 40% of the games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the games.

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