La Liga
Real Madrid - Real Oviedo
05/14/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
2.4
3.5
1.1
2:1
10%1:1
9%2:0
9%3:1
8%3:0
7%xG 分解
Real Madrid
Real Oviedo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
65%
平局
20%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
45%
Under 3.5
55%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
35%
非平局
80%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 65% for Real Madrid
- Real Madrid demonstrates a strong home offense with an average of 2.05 goals per game and a solid defense with only 0.74 goals conceded
- Real Oviedo, on the other hand, shows weakness away from home, scoring only 0.74 goals and conceding 1.61 goals on average
风险因素
- Real Madrid must do without key players such as Kylian Mbappé, Federico Valverde, Jude Bellingham, and Dean Huijsen, resulting in only 56% of the usual starting XI goal threat being available
- Real Madrid's goal production has recently slowed to an average of 1.6 goals per game, compared to their season average of 2.2 goals
概述
Real Madrid (2nd place, 77 points) host Real Oviedo (20th place, 29 points) at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga match on May 14, 2026, 9:30 PM
Real Madrid is fighting for its top position, while Real Oviedo is battling against relegation
近期状态
Real Madrid's form in the last five games is LWDWL
This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Real Oviedo's form in the last five matches is WDLLD
This means 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Real Madrid lost their last game 0-2, Real Oviedo last drew 0-0
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Real Madrid averages 2.00 goals scored per game and concedes 0.94 goals per game this season
At home, Real Madrid scores an average of 2.05 goals and concedes only 0.74 goals
Real Oviedo averages 0.74 goals scored per game and concedes 1.54 goals per game this season
Away from home, Real Oviedo averages 0.74 goals scored and concedes 1.61 goals
Real Madrid kept 12 clean sheets, Real Oviedo 10 clean sheets
At Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, the last 5 games saw an average of 3.6 goals per match
In these 5 games, both teams scored every time (100%) and there were more than 2.5 goals 4 times (80%)
历史交锋
In the 1 previous head-to-head encounter, Real Madrid secured 1 win
There were no draws and no wins for Real Oviedo
Real Madrid scored a total of 3 goals, Real Oviedo no goals
Real Madrid won the last meeting on August 24, 2025, with a score of 3-0
Real Madrid was dominant in the last direct encounter
关键球员
Vinicius Junior is a key attacker for Real Madrid with 15 goals and 5 assists
His form is rising with a rating increase of 0.23
Brahim Díaz provided 5 assists this season for Real Madrid
Gonzalo García contributed 4 goals and 1 assist
For Real Oviedo, Federico Viñas is crucial with 9 goals and 1 assist
His form is rising with a rating increase of 0.26
Ilyas Chaira scored 6 goals and 2 assists for Real Oviedo, showing a strongly rising form with a +0.63 rating delta
Alberto Reina has scored 4 goals and 2 assists for Real Oviedo and shows rising form with a +0.31 rating delta
门将
Real Madrid's goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois kept 12 clean sheets this season
Real Oviedo's goalkeeper Aarón Escandell managed to keep 10 clean sheets
影响因素
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu has a grass surface
Real Madrid shows strong home performance with an average of 2.05 goals scored and only 0.74 goals conceded at home
Real Oviedo concedes an average of 1.61 goals away from home
The last 5 games at the Bernabéu showed an average of 3.6 goals per match
Both teams scored every time, and there were over 2.5 goals in 4 instances