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La Liga

Espanyol - Athletic Club

05/13/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Espanyol
1.1
Total xG
2.1
Athletic Club
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

11%

1:0

11%

1:2

7%
xG 分解
ESPAC

Espanyol

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.20
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第9位, 相差8位)
-0.09
Kike García替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
Tyrhys Dolan未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Ramón Terrats替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.2球)

Athletic Club

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.44
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.11
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第17位, 相差8位)
+0.04
Gorka Guruzeta替补席 (9球, 3助攻)
Nico Williams未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
Yuri Berchiche未进大名单 (0球, 5助攻)
Mikel Jauregizar替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
41%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

33%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

67%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Poor Form: Espanyol shows a negative form trend with an average of only 0.5 goals recently
  • Tight Matchup: Mathematical analysis predicts a very balanced game with a 33% home win and 34% away win probability
  • Away Weakness: Athletic Club concedes an average of 1.82 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Limited Goal Threat: Only 66% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available for Athletic Club, without Gorka Guruzeta, Nico Williams, Yuri Berchiche, Mikel Jauregizar
  • Fatigue: Athletic Club with only 3 days rest since their last match
概述

Espanyol (17th place, 39 points) host Athletic Club (9th place, 44 points) at the RCDE Stadium. La Liga match on May 13, 2026, 7:00 PM. Espanyol are fighting for survival, while Athletic Club is in the middle of the table. The mathematical analysis suggests a very tight match, with a home win probability of 33% and an away win probability of 34%

近期状态

Espanyol is in a difficult phase with form LLDLL in the last five games. This corresponds to 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Their last appearance was a 1-2 loss against Sevilla. According to advanced statistics, the current form trend is negative. Athletic Club shows form LWLWL in their last five games, with 2 wins and 3 losses. Their last match was a 0-1 loss against Valencia. According to advanced statistics, the current form trend is positive

统计数据

Espanyol scores an average of 1.09 goals and concedes 1.51 goals per season. At home, they average 1.06 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded. Athletic Club scores an average of 1.14 goals and concedes 1.46 goals per season. Away from home, the average is 1.12 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded. Espanyol recorded 9 clean sheets, while Athletic Club had 6. In 20 Espanyol games, both teams scored, compared to 18 Athletic Club matches

历史交锋

In the previous 3 head-to-head matches, there has been 1 win for Espanyol and 1 win for Athletic Club, as well as 1 draw. The goal difference is 4:6 in favor of Athletic Club. The last encounter on December 22, 2025, ended in a 2-1 away win for Espanyol against Athletic Club

关键球员

For Espanyol, Roberto Fernández with 6 goals and 3 assists, Carlos Romero with 5 goals and 2 assists, and Edu Expósito with 1 goal and 6 assists are key players. For Athletic Club, Robert Navarro with 6 goals and 1 assist, Iñaki Williams with 2 goals and 4 assists, and Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta with 1 goal and 2 assists stand out

门将

Espanyol's goalkeeper, Manuel Iori, has scored 0 goals this season. Espanyol has recorded 9 clean sheets so far. Athletic Club's goalkeeper, Unai Simón, has also scored 0 goals this season. Athletic Club has 6 clean sheets

影响因素

The RCDE Stadium has an average of 1.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 out of 5 matches. Espanyol averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded at home. Athletic Club averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded away

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