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La Liga

Real Betis - Elche

05/12/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Real Betis
1.6
Total xG
2.5
Elche
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

1:2

5%
xG 分解
RBELC

Real Betis

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.11
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.11
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第14位, 相差9位)
+0.07
A. Ruibal García未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)

Elche

排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第5位, 相差9位)
-0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
Álvaro Rodríguez替补席 (6球, 5助攻)
Pedro Bigas替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Tete Morente替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.5球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

28%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

72%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Real Betis' home win probability is 53% according to the analysis
  • Elche's defensive vulnerability away from home is very high, with an average of 2.69 goals conceded per game
  • Real Betis shows an improved offensive performance with 2.2 goals per game recently
风险因素
  • Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Elche's high away goals conceded average of 2.69 per game poses a risk
  • The model predicts a draw with a probability of 28%
概述

Real Betis (5th place, 54 points) hosts Elche (14th place, 39 points) at the Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla

La Liga match on May 12, 2026, 8:00 PM

Real Betis is fighting for international spots

Elche is trying to stay away from the relegation zone

近期状态

Real Betis' last five matches (LWDWD) show 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

The last result was a draw

Elche's form (WWWLD) consists of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches

The last result was also a draw

Real Betis shows a positive form trend, currently scoring more often (2.2) than their season average (1.8)

Elche has a stable form trend, consistently scoring approximately 1.5 goals per game

统计数据

Real Betis averages 1.54 goals scored and 1.23 goals conceded per season

At home, they average 1.58 goals scored and only 0.89 goals conceded

Elche averages 1.31 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded per season

Away from home, Elche scores 1.31 goals but concedes an alarming 2.69 goals per game

Real Betis has kept 10 clean sheets in total, 7 of them at home

Elche has kept 7 clean sheets, but none in away games

Both teams scored in 23 of Real Betis' games, and in 25 of Elche's games

历史交锋

In the 2 direct encounters so far, there has been 1 win for Real Betis and 1 draw

Elche has not won any of these matches

Real Betis scored a total of 3 goals, Elche 2 goals

The last encounter was won by Real Betis with 2:1 on January 14, 2026

Real Betis has been more dominant in recent matchups

关键球员

For Real Betis, Abde Ezzalzouli (9 goals, 8 assists, AvgRating 7.33) and Antony (8 goals, 6 assists, AvgRating 7.23) are key offensively

Cucho Hernández (10 goals, 3 assists, AvgRating 7.06) is also an important goal scorer

Abde Ezzalzouli shows a rising form trend with 4 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 games

Not nominated: A. Ruibal García

For Elche, André Silva (10 goals, 0 assists, AvgRating 6.90) is the most dangerous player

Germán Valera (4 goals, 4 assists, AvgRating 6.98) and Aleix Febas (2 goals, 3 assists, AvgRating 7.05) are also important offensive forces

Not set up: Álvaro Rodríguez (6G/5A), Pedro Bigas (1G/2A), Tete Morente (1G/1A)

门将

Real Betis relies on Álvaro Valles, who has recorded 10 clean sheets this season, 7 of them in home games

Elche's goalkeeper Matías Dituro has achieved 7 clean sheets this season, but none in away games

Álvaro Valles currently shows a rising form trend

影响因素

The Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla averages 3.0 goals per game

In 3 out of 5 matches at this stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored

Real Betis has a solid home defense, conceding only 0.89 goals per game

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