🇪🇸

La Liga

Villarreal - Sevilla

05/13/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Villarreal
2.0
Total xG
2.8
Sevilla
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
VILSEV

Villarreal

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.41倍)
+0.56
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第13位, 相差10位)
+0.10
Santi Comesaña替补席 (3球, 6助攻)
Tajon Buchanan替补席 (7球, 1助攻)
Sergi Cardona替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
Tani Oluwaseyi替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Santiago Mouriño替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Sevilla

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-0.40
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第3位, 相差10位)
-0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.03
Isaac Romero替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Nemanja Gudelj替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

66%

平局

22%

客胜

12%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

88%

客胜或平局

34%

非平局

78%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Villarreal's Home Strength: Pipeline analysis predicts a home win with 66% probability and 2.04 expected home goals
  • Offensive Form: Villarreal currently scores more frequently with 2.2 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.7 goals
  • Head-to-Head Record: Villarreal won 4 of the last 5 direct encounters against Sevilla
风险因素
  • Short Recovery Time: Villarreal has only 3 days rest since their last match
  • Sevilla's Low Shots on Target: In the last 5 games, Sevilla averaged 3.0 shots on target
概述

Villarreal (3rd place, 69 points) host Sevilla (13th place, 40 points) at the Estadio de la Cerámica. The La Liga match will take place on May 13, 2026, 7:00 PM. Villarreal are fighting for international spots, while Sevilla are in the middle of the table

近期状态

Villarreal shows good form with WDWWD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) in their last five matches across all competitions. Their last result was a draw away against Mallorca. Sevilla's form is WLLWW (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). The Andalusians won their last game at home against Espanyol. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Villarreal scored an average of 1.86 goals per game this season and conceded 1.14 goals. At home, they are particularly strong with 1.86 goals scored and only 0.68 goals conceded on average. Sevilla scored an average of 1.23 goals and conceded 1.60 goals per match. Away from home, Sevilla's defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.13 goals. Villarreal kept 8 clean sheets, while Sevilla achieved 6. Both teams scored in 22 Villarreal games and 21 Sevilla games. At the Estadio de la Cerámica, the last 5 matches averaged 3.8 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and all 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head matches, Villarreal dominates. They won four games, with one draw. The goal difference of 12:7 also favors Villarreal. The last encounter on September 23, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Villarreal

关键球员

For Villarreal, Nicolas Pépé stands out, scoring 3 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games with a rising form. Georges Mikautadze showed 2 goals in 5 games and has a stable form. Alberto Moleiro contributed 1 goal in 5 games. For Sevilla, Akor Adams scored 2 goals in 4 of the last 5 games and has a stable form. Neal Maupay recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 3 games with rising form. Djibril Sow delivered 2 assists in 5 games and shows stable form

门将

Arnau Tenas is Villarreal's goalkeeper and has made 7 appearances this season. Villarreal has recorded 8 clean sheets this season. For Sevilla, Odysseas Vlachodimos is in goal, playing 31 games this season. Sevilla has achieved 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The Estadio de la Cerámica, with a grass surface, has proven to be very high-scoring in the last 5 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game. Additionally, both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and all 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals. Villarreal scores an average of 1.86 goals at home and concedes 0.68 goals. Sevilla concedes an average of 2.13 goals away from home

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。