La Liga
Valencia - Rayo Vallecano
05/14/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.9
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
27%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Pipeline analysis: Valencia has a higher win probability at 45%
- Form advantage Rayo Vallecano: Unbeaten in the last 5 games with 3 wins and 2 draws
- Rayo Vallecano's offensive strength: Averaged 7.2 shots on target in the last 5 games, compared to Valencia's 3.4 shots
风险因素
- Limited goal threat for Rayo Vallecano: Only 56% of usual starting XI goal threat is available without Jorge de Frutos (10G/1A), Isi Palazón (3G/3A), Unai López (0G/4A), Andrei Rațiu (0G/3A), Sergio Camello (3G/0A), Alexandre Zurawski (3G/0A), Pathé Ciss (2G/0A)
- Fatigue for Rayo Vallecano: Only 3 days since last match
概述
Valencia (13th place, 42 points) host Rayo Vallecano (10th place, 43 points) at the Estadio de Mestalla. La Liga match on May 14, 2026, 7:00 PM. Both teams are close in the table, with Rayo Vallecano just one point ahead of Valencia.
近期状态
Valencia's form across all competitions shows LDWLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). The last match was a win. Rayo Vallecano shows stronger form with DWWWD, unbeaten in their last five games (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), with their last match being a draw. Valencia's goal production is stagnating with an average of 0.8 goals recently, compared to a season average of 1.3 goals. Rayo Vallecano consistently scores around 1.5 goals per game, indicating stable form.
统计数据
Valencia has scored an average of 1.09 goals per game this season and conceded 1.43 goals. At home, they score 1.10 goals and concede 1 goal per game. Rayo Vallecano averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Rayo Vallecano concedes an average of 1.93 goals per match and scores 1 goal. Valencia recorded 9 clean sheets, while Rayo Vallecano had 11. The Estadio de Mestalla has seen an average of 3.2 total goals in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals occurring in 3 of 5 games.
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, the record is balanced with 1 win for Valencia, 1 win for Rayo Vallecano, and 3 draws. The goal difference is also even at 3:3 goals. The last encounter on December 1, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw.
关键球员
For Valencia, Hugo Duro (9 goals), Luis Rioja (2 goals, 6 assists, 1 assist in last 5 games) and Javi Guerra (1 goal, 5 assists, 2 assists in last 5 games) are important players. Hugo Duro shows a declining form trend. For Rayo Vallecano, Randy Nteka stands out with 2 goals this season and 2 goals in the last 5 games, showing a stable form trend. Florian Lejeune (1 goal, 1 assist, 1 goal in last 5 games) and Gerard Gumbau (0 goals, 2 assists, 1 assist in last 5 games) are other key players.
门将
Valencia's goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski has kept 9 clean sheets this season. Rayo Vallecano's goalkeeper Augusto Batalla has recorded 11 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The Estadio de Mestalla showed an average of 3.2 total goals per match in the last 5 games. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches. Valencia scores an average of 1.10 goals at home and concedes 1 goal. Rayo Vallecano scores an average of 1 goal away and concedes 1.93 goals.