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La Liga

Deportivo Alavés - FC Barcelona

05/13/2026, 07:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Deportivo Alavés
1.0
Total xG
2.6
FC Barcelona
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

0:2

10%

1:2

10%

2:1

6%

0:3

5%
xG 分解
DAFB

Deportivo Alavés

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.57
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第1位, 相差18位)
-0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.11
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.10
Pablo Ibáñez替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)

FC Barcelona

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.7倍)
+0.38
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (1.8 vs 2.5 赛季平均)
-0.22
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第19位, 相差18位)
+0.11
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.06
Ferran Torres替补席 (16球, 1助攻)
Fermín López未进大名单 (6球, 9助攻)
Pedri替补席 (2球, 8助攻)
João Cancelo替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Eric García替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

21%

平局

28%

客胜

51%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

50%

客胜或平局

79%

非平局

72%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 51% win probability for FC Barcelona and a 79% probability for a win or a draw
  • Barcelona is unbeaten in 5 games and won all 5 head-to-head matches against Alavés
  • As league leaders, Barcelona scores an average of 2.60 goals per game, while Alavés is in 19th place and concedes an average of 1.54 goals
风险因素
  • FC Barcelona had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Barcelona is missing Ferran Torres (16G/1A), Fermín López (6G/9A), Pedri (2G/8A), João Cancelo (1G/2A), and Eric García (1G/2A), reducing their goal threat to 76%
  • FC Barcelona's goal production has recently dropped to 1.8 goals per game, compared to their season average of 2.5 goals
概述

Deportivo Alavés (19th place, 37 points) host FC Barcelona (1st place, 91 points) at the Estadio de Mendizorroza. La Liga match on May 13, 2026, 9:30 PM. Barcelona is the current league leader, Alavés is battling against relegation

近期状态

Deportivo Alavés shows mixed form with 'DLWLD', meaning 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games. FC Barcelona is in top form with a winning streak of 5 consecutive games, represented by 'WWWWW'. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Deportivo Alavés averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded per game. At home, they average 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 goals conceded. FC Barcelona scores an average of 2.60 goals and concedes 0.89 goals. Away from home, Barcelona scores an average of 2.64 goals and concedes 1.57 goals. At the Estadio de Mendizorroza, the last 5 games saw an average of 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in all matches (100%) and over 2.5 goals in 80% of the games

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Alavés remained winless, while FC Barcelona won all 5 games. The goal difference of 3:12 clearly favors Barcelona. The last encounter on November 29, 2025, ended in a 1:3 away win for FC Barcelona

关键球员

Key players for Alavés are Toni Martínez (12 season goals), Nahuel Tenaglia (2 season goals), and Antonio Blanco (2 season goals, 2 assists). For Barcelona, Robert Lewandowski (13 season goals), Marcus Rashford (8 season goals, 8 assists), and Dani Olmo (7 season goals, 8 assists) are crucial

门将

Antonio Sivera is Alavés' goalkeeper with 3 clean sheets this season. Wojciech Szczesny is in goal for FC Barcelona, with the team keeping a total of 15 clean sheets

影响因素

The home advantage for Alavés is shown by their average of 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 goals conceded at home. At the Estadio de Mendizorroza, an average of 3.80 goals were scored in the last 5 games. Both teams scored in all matches (100%) and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the games. The surface is grass

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