La Liga
Sevilla - Real Madrid
05/17/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
10%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Sevilla
Real Madrid
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
32%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis indicates a very balanced match with similar win probabilities for both teams
- Real Madrid dominated the direct encounters, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings against Sevilla
- Real Madrid's recent goal production has slowed to 1.4 goals, compared to their season average of 2.2 goals
风险因素
- Real Madrid had only 3 days of rest since their last match
概述
Sevilla (11th place, 43 points) host Real Madrid (2nd place, 80 points) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
La Liga match on May 17, 2026, 7:00 PM
Real Madrid aims to secure their second place in the league table, while Sevilla seeks to improve their mid-table standing
近期状态
Sevilla shows improved form with LLWWW, consisting of 3 wins and 2 losses
Their last appearance was a win
The home team has achieved 3 consecutive wins recently
Real Madrid has a form of WDWLW in their last 5 games, comprising 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Their last appearance was a win
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Sevilla averages 1.28 goals scored and 1.61 goals conceded per game this season
In home games, the average is 1.26 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded
Real Madrid averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded per match
Away from home, Real Madrid scores 1.94 goals and concedes 1.19 goals per game
Both teams scored in 22 of Sevilla's 36 games, and in 20 of Real Madrid's 36 games
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 21 matches for Sevilla and 20 matches for Real Madrid
The Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán has seen an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 direct encounters, Real Madrid dominated with 4 wins compared to no wins for Sevilla
One match ended in a draw
Real Madrid scored 10 goals, while Sevilla managed 3 goals
The last meeting on December 20, 2025, ended with a 0:2 away victory for Real Madrid
Real Madrid has been dominant in recent matchups
关键球员
Akor Adams is a key offensive player for Sevilla with 10 season goals and 4 assists
He scored 2 goals in his last 5 games
Djibril Sow contributed 5 goals and 4 assists this season, with 3 assists in his last 5 appearances
Rubén Vargas has 3 goals and 6 assists this season
Also not nominated: Lucien Agoumé (1 Goal/3 Assists), Isaac Romero (4 Goals/0 Assists)
For Real Madrid, Kylian Mbappé is the top scorer of the season with 24 goals and 5 assists
He scored 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games
Vinicius Junior is another key player with 15 season goals and 5 assists, scoring 4 goals in the last 5 matches
Jude Bellingham has scored 5 goals and provided 4 assists this season
Also not nominated: Federico Valverde (5 Goals/8 Assists), Trent Alexander-Arnold (0 Goals/4 Assists)
门将
Sevilla goalkeeper Odysseas Vlachodimos played in 32 season games and kept 6 clean sheets
Thibaut Courtois of Real Madrid made 30 season appearances with 13 clean sheets
He contributed 1 assist in his last 5 games
影响因素
Sevilla scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded 1.26 goals per home game in their stadium
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán has seen an average of 2.2 total goals per match in the last 5 games
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches at the stadium