La Liga
Real Sociedad - Valencia
05/17/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%xG 分解
Real Sociedad
Valencia
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
29%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Real Sociedad is missing crucial attacking players like Mikel Oyarzabal and Ander Barrenetxea; only 58% of their usual starting XI's goal threat is available
- Valencia's recent form (2 wins, 2 draws) is more stable than Real Sociedad's (3 draws, 2 losses)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 46% probability and 1.48 expected home goals
风险因素
- Real Sociedad had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Valencia had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Valencia concedes an average of 2.07 goals per away game
概述
Real Sociedad (8th place, 45 points) host Valencia (12th place, 43 points) at Anoeta Stadium
La Liga match on May 17, 2026, 7:00 PM
Both teams are vying for an improved position in the middle of the table
近期状态
Real Sociedad's form is LDLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
The last two games both ended in a draw
Valencia's form is DWLWD
This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 encounters
The last match was a draw, the second-to-last was a win
统计数据
Real Sociedad scores an average of 1.53 goals per game and concedes 1.56 goals per game
Valencia scores 1.08 goals per game and concedes 1.42 goals per game
At Anoeta Stadium, an average of 3.4 goals have been scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
Real Sociedad's goal production is currently stalling (1.2 goals) compared to their season average (1.6 goals)
Valencia's goal production has also recently decreased (1.0 goals) compared to their season average (1.3 goals)
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad leads with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Valencia
One match ended in a draw
Real Sociedad scored a total of 6 goals, while Valencia scored 2 goals in these encounters
The last meeting on August 16, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw
Real Sociedad has shown to be the more dominant team in recent head-to-head duels
关键球员
For Real Sociedad, Orri Óskarsson has been involved in 2 goals in the last 5 games and has scored 7 goals overall this season
Carlos Soler contributed 4 goals and 3 assists this season
Jon Martín scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and has 2 goals this season
For Valencia, Javi Guerra showed rising form with 3 assists in the last 5 games and 6 assists this season
Diego López contributed 1 goal in the last 5 games and has scored 4 goals this season
Hugo Duro is the top scorer of the season with 9 goals, but has shown declining form recently
门将
Real Sociedad's goalkeeper Álex Remiro played 36 games and kept 3 clean sheets
Valencia's goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski played in 18 games and recorded 9 clean sheets
影响因素
Real Sociedad has an offensive home advantage at Anoeta Stadium with an average of 1.55 home goals scored
Valencia concedes an average of 2.07 goals per away game, indicating defensive vulnerability
Anoeta Stadium is known for high-scoring matches with an average of 3.4 goals per game