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La Liga

Elche - Getafe

05/17/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Elche
1.4
Total xG
2.4
Getafe
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

10%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
ELCGET

Elche

排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第7位, 相差10位)
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.01
Aleix Febas未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)

Getafe

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.13
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.05
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第17位, 相差10位)
+0.05
Abdel Abqar替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

30%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

70%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Pipeline forecast: The mathematical analysis favors Elche with a 43% chance for a home win, compared to 27% for Getafe
  • Elche home strength: Elche concedes only an average of 0.86 goals per home game
  • Getafe offense: Getafe scores only an average of 0.88 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Low shot efficiency: Getafe averaged only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Elche (17th place, 39 points) host Getafe (7th place, 48 points) at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. The La Liga match takes place on May 17, 2026, 7:00 PM. Elche is fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle, while Getafe is vying for a European spot

近期状态

Elche's form in their last five games shows a record of W-W-D-L-L, which corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last result was a loss

Getafe's form over their last five games is W-L-L-D-W, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last match ended in a win

统计数据

Elche scores an average of 1.31 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.56 goals. They kept 7 clean sheets, both teams scored in 26 matches, and 22 games ended with over 2.5 goals. At home, Elche scores an average of 1.32 goals and concedes 0.86 goals

Getafe scores an average of 0.86 goals per game and concedes 1.03 goals. They kept 11 clean sheets, both teams scored in 11 matches, and 10 games ended with over 2.5 goals. Away from home, Getafe scores an average of 0.88 goals and concedes 1.31 goals

The last 5 games at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero averaged 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 of 5 games (80%) and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 games (60%)

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between Elche and Getafe. Getafe won this single game 1-0. Elche has scored 0 goals to date, while Getafe has scored 1 goal. The last encounter took place on November 28, 2025, with Getafe emerging victorious away from home

关键球员

For Elche, Andrés Silva is a key attacking force with 10 season goals and 3 goals in his last 5 games. Álvaro Rodríguez contributed 6 season goals and 5 assists. Defender David Affengruber shows rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 matches

For Getafe, Luis Milla is an important midfielder with 10 season assists and 1 assist in his last 5 games. Martín Satriano scored 6 season goals, with 2 in his last 5 matches. Mauro Arambarri contributed 6 goals this season

门将

Matías Dituro, Elche's goalkeeper, recorded 7 clean sheets this season, but his form has recently been declining. David Soria, Getafe's goalkeeper, kept 11 clean sheets this season and shows stable form

影响因素

Elche shows defensive stability at home, scoring an average of 1.32 goals and conceding only 0.86 goals. Matches at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero tend to be high-scoring, with an average of 3.0 goals per game, and both teams scored in 80% of the last 5 games

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