La Liga
Atlético Madrid - Girona
05/17/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
2.0
2.9
0.9
1:1
11%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
7%xG 分解
Atlético Madrid
Girona
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
61%
平局
24%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
39%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 61% probability and 1.99 expected goals for Atlético Madrid
- Atlético Madrid has dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning the last match 3-0
- Girona's goal production is stagnant at 1.0, below their season average of 1.1
风险因素
- Girona had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Atlético Madrid's goal production is stagnant at 1.0, below their season average of 1.9
- The form of goalkeeper Jan Oblak (Atlético Madrid) shows a declining trend, as does Paulo Gazzaniga's (Girona)
概述
Atlético Madrid (4th place, 66 points) host Girona (16th place, 40 points) at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano
La Liga match on May 17, 2026, 7:00 PM
Atlético aims for another top finish, while Girona battles for league survival
近期状态
Atlético Madrid's last five games show a form of DWLLW
This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Their last match was a win
Girona has a form of LLLDD in their last five matches
They recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, entering this encounter with 2 consecutive draws
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes 1.08 goals per season
They kept 13 clean sheets
Girona averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per game
They achieved 6 clean sheets
At the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, an average of 2.8 goals per game are scored
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
Atlético Madrid scored an average of 1.65 goals and conceded 0.74 goals in home games
Girona scored an average of 1.06 goals and conceded 1.59 goals in away games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid dominated with 4 wins compared to Girona's 1 win
There were no draws
Atlético Madrid scored a total of 16 goals, while Girona managed 5 goals
The last encounter on December 21, 2025, ended with a 3-0 victory for Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid has been the more dominant team in recent meetings
关键球员
The key players for Atlético Madrid are:
Antoine Griezmann (7 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.98 Rating, form stable)
Giuliano Simeone (4 goals, 6 assists, Avg. 6.97 Rating, form declining)
Ademola Lookman (3 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.82 Rating, form stable, 1 goal in last 5 games)
Not nominated: Marcos Llorente (0G/5A)
For Girona, the key players are:
Viktor Tsygankov (6 goals, 5 assists, Avg. 7.14 Rating, form stable, 1 goal and 1 assist in last 5 games)
Azzedine Ounahi (5 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.26 Rating, form stable, 1 goal in last 5 games)
Joel Roca (3 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.59 Rating, form rising, 1 goal in last 5 games)
Not nominated: Claudio Echeverri (1G/1A)
门将
Atlético Madrid's goalkeeper Jan Oblak recorded 13 clean sheets in 29 season appearances
His form shows a declining trend
Girona's goalkeeper Paulo Gazzaniga played in 33 matches and achieved 6 clean sheets
His form also shows a declining trend
影响因素
The Riyadh Air Metropolitano averages 2.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
Atlético Madrid shows a strong offense at home with an average of 1.65 goals and a solid defense with only 0.74 goals conceded per home game
Girona concedes an average of 1.59 goals away from home while scoring 1.06 goals
The playing surface is grass