La Liga
Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano
05/23/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%0:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Deportivo Alavés
Rayo Vallecano
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
33%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Model Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Deportivo Alavés with a probability of 41%.
- Guests' Offensive Strength: Rayo Vallecano averaged 5.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, showing strong offensive capabilities.
- Guests' Defensive Vulnerability: Rayo Vallecano concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game.
风险因素
- Limited Guests' Goal Threat: Rayo Vallecano has only 61% of their usual starting XI's goal threat available.
- Few Home Shots on Target: Deportivo Alavés averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games.
概述
Deportivo Alavés (13th place, 43 points) hosts Rayo Vallecano (8th place, 47 points) at the Estadio de Mendizorroza. La Liga match on May 23, 2026, 9:00 PM. Both teams aim to improve their league standing.
近期状态
Deportivo Alavés shows a form of 'WLDWW' across all competitions, including 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games, with two consecutive wins recently. Rayo Vallecano's form is 'WWDDW' over all competitions, with 3 wins and 2 draws, being unbeaten in their last 5 matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Deportivo Alavés scores an average of 1.16 goals and concedes 1.46 goals per game this season. At home, the average is 1.14 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded. Rayo Vallecano averages 1.05 goals scored and 1.16 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Rayo Vallecano scores 1.07 goals and concedes 2.0 goals per game. At Estadio de Mendizorroza, the last 5 games averaged 3.2 total goals per match, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games.
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Alavés won 2 games and Rayo Vallecano won 3 games. The goal difference is 3:4 in favor of Rayo Vallecano. The last encounter was won by Deportivo Alavés with a 2-0 score on January 14, 2026. The away team has been more dominant in recent encounters.
关键球员
For Deportivo Alavés, Toni Martínez (13 goals, 3 assists) and Lucas Boyé (11 goals, 1 assist) stand out in attack. Abde Rebbach (1 goal, 4 assists) also contributes to creativity. For Rayo Vallecano, Álvaro García (4 goals, 5 assists) is the most dangerous offensive player. Gerard Gumbau (0 goals, 3 assists) and Randy Nteka (2 goals, 0 assists) are other important players.
门将
Deportivo Alavés starts with Antonio Sivera in goal, who has contributed to 5 clean sheets this season. Rayo Vallecano features Dani Cárdenas, with the team keeping a total of 12 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Deportivo Alavés shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.14 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per home game. Rayo Vallecano concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game. The venue, Estadio de Mendizorroza, has seen an average of 3.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 80% of those games.