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La Liga

Espanyol - Real Sociedad

05/23/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Espanyol
1.6
Total xG
2.8
Real Sociedad
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
ESPRS

Espanyol

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.07
Tyrhys Dolan替补席 (2球, 5助攻)
Omar El Hilali替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)

Real Sociedad

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.36
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.05
Mikel Oyarzabal替补席 (15球, 4助攻)
Ander Barrenetxea未进大名单 (3球, 5助攻)
Takefusa Kubo替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Jon Gorrotxategi未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Jon Martín替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
45%进球产出缺失 (仅57%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

28%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

72%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Espanyol with a probability of 47%
  • Real Sociedad's squad is critically weakened, with only 57% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available and 5 key players missing, including Mikel Oyarzabal (15 goals, 4 assists)
  • Espanyol shows an improving form with two consecutive wins, while Real Sociedad remained winless in their last five games
风险因素
  • Real Sociedad's historical record against Espanyol is better, with 2 wins and 1 draw in 3 direct duels
  • The RCDE Stadium shows a tendency for low-scoring matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game and only a 20% BTTS rate in the last 5 encounters
概述

Espanyol (11th place, 45 points) host Real Sociedad (10th place, 45 points) at the RCDE Stadium

La Liga match on May 23, 2026, 9:00 PM

Both teams are level on points in the mid-table

近期状态

Espanyol recently shows an upward form trend with "DLLWW" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home team recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games, winning their last 2 matches consecutively

Real Sociedad is in a weaker form phase with "DLDDL"

The visitors had no wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 encounters, losing their last game

统计数据

Espanyol scored an average of 1.14 goals per game this season and conceded 1.46 goals

At home, the average is 1.11 goals scored and 1.28 goals conceded

Real Sociedad is more offensively potent with 1.57 goals per game, but concedes 1.62 goals

Real Sociedad's away statistics are particularly notable, with an average of 1.62 goals scored and 2.23 goals conceded per away game

Espanyol kept 10 clean sheets, Real Sociedad 3

Both teams scored in 21 of Espanyol's games and 29 of Real Sociedad's games

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 Espanyol games and 22 Real Sociedad games

历史交锋

Real Sociedad had the upper hand in the 3 direct duels

Real Sociedad won 2 matches, while 1 game ended in a draw and Espanyol remained winless

The goal difference is 3:5 in favor of Real Sociedad

The last encounter on August 24, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw

关键球员

For Espanyol, Carlos Romero is a key player with 6 goals and 3 assists, his form is recently rising

Roberto Fernández contributed 6 goals and 3 assists

Edu Expósito provided 1 goal and 6 assists, with a season average rating of 7.16

For Real Sociedad, Orri Óskarsson is a key player with 8 season goals, including 3 in the last 5 games

Sergio Gómez excelled with 5 assists this season, 3 of them in the last 5 games, his form is rising

Carlos Soler scored 4 goals and 3 assists this season

门将

Espanyol, expected to start Ángel Fortuño in goal, recorded 10 clean sheets this season

Real Sociedad's goalkeeper Álex Remiro played all 37 season games with an average rating of 6.81 and 3 clean sheets

影响因素

The RCDE Stadium has a history of rather low-scoring games with an average of 1.4 goals per game

In the last 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored only once, and there was only one game with over 2.5 goals

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