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La Liga

Villarreal - Atlético de Madrid

05/24/2026, 07:00 PM

5 : 1
预期进球
Villarreal
2.0
Total xG
3.2
Atlético de Madrid
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

3:1

7%

3:0

6%
xG 分解
VILADM

Villarreal

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.29倍)
+0.71
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.10
Gerard Moreno未进大名单 (10球, 0助攻)
Santi Comesaña未进大名单 (3球, 6助攻)

Atlético de Madrid

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.27
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.27
Matteo Ruggeri替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Robin Le Normand未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.9球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

24%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

76%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis sees Villarreal as 58% likely favorites for a home win, with 2.05 expected home goals compared to 1.11 expected goals for Atlético
  • Villarreal's offense shows a positive form development with a current average of 2.0 goals, while Atlético's goal production recently stalled with 1.0 goals
  • Villarreal is strong at home, scoring 1.79 goals and conceding only 0.75 goals per home game
风险因素
  • Atlético Madrid has secured 3 wins in the last 5 head-to-head matches, while Villarreal failed to win any
  • Atlético Madrid's defense is very stable this season, with an average of 1.05 goals conceded per game and 14 clean sheets
  • Villarreal has suffered defeats in their last two matches
概述

Villarreal (4th place, 69 points) host Atlético Madrid (3rd place, 69 points) at the Estadio de la Cerámica. This La Liga clash on May 24, 2026, 9:00 PM, is a direct top-of-the-table encounter for Champions League spots. Both teams are level on points and are fighting for a better position for the upcoming season

近期状态

Villarreal's form in their last five matches is WWDLL, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They have lost their last two league games. Atlético Madrid's form is WLLWW, with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five matches. The visitors have won their last two league games, indicating a positive trend. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Villarreal scores an average of 1.81 goals per game and concedes 1.22 goals. At home, they are strong offensively with an average of 1.79 goals and defensively stable with 0.75 goals conceded per home game. Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.65 goals per game and concedes 1.05 goals. Away from home, they score 1.69 goals and also concede 1.69 goals per match. The Estadio de la Cerámica recently saw very high-scoring matches with an average of 4.2 goals per game, 4 out of 5 matches ended with both teams scoring, and all 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head encounters, Atlético Madrid secured 3 wins, Villarreal none, and there were 2 draws. Atlético Madrid emerged victorious in the last meeting with a 0:2 away win on September 13, 2025. The goal difference of 5:10 goals in these matches also clearly favors Atlético Madrid, highlighting their historical dominance

关键球员

For Villarreal, Georges Mikautadze stands out with 12 season goals and 6 assists, with his form rising and an average rating of 7.54 in his last 5 games. Alberto Moleiro contributed 10 goals and 5 assists. Nicolas Pépé scored 8 goals and 6 assists, showing rising form with a rating of 7.32 in his last 5 games. For Atlético Madrid, Antoine Griezmann is crucial with 7 goals and 3 assists, providing 2 assists in his last 5 games. Ademola Lookman showed good form with 2 goals in his last 4 games. Giuliano Simeone has 4 season goals and 6 assists. Not nominated for Villarreal are Gerard Moreno (10G/0A) and Santi Comesaña (3G/6A). For Atlético Madrid, Matteo Ruggeri (0G/3A) and Robin Le Normand (1G/1A) were not nominated

门将

Arnau Tenas of Villarreal had 8 clean sheets this season. Juan Musso of Atlético Madrid recorded 14 clean sheets. Musso has a higher average season rating of 7.14 compared to Tenas with 6.71

影响因素

Villarreal has a home advantage with an average of 1.79 goals scored and only 0.75 goals conceded per home game. The Estadio de la Cerámica is known for high-scoring matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game in the last 5 encounters. Over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 of these matches

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