La Liga
Valencia - FC Barcelona
05/23/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
3.1
1.9
1:1
12%1:2
10%0:2
9%1:3
6%2:1
6%xG 分解
Valencia
FC Barcelona
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
21%
平局
25%
客胜
54%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
46%
客胜或平局
79%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 54% probability, indicating FC Barcelona as the clear favorite
- FC Barcelona dominated the head-to-head encounters, winning all 5 matches with a goal difference of 24-4
- FC Barcelona is at the top of the league table with 94 points, while Valencia is in 9th place with 46 points
风险因素
- FC Barcelona's goal production is currently stagnant (1.8 goals), while their season average is 2.5 goals
- Valencia averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating limited offensive pressure
- Valencia concedes an average of 1.05 goals per home game, representing an improved home defense compared to their season average
概述
Valencia (9th place, 46 points) host FC Barcelona (1st place, 94 points) at the Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga match on May 23, 2026, 9:00 PM
Barcelona are already champions, and Valencia are playing for a better mid-table position
近期状态
Valencia's form in the last five league matches: WLWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
The last matchday ended with a 4-3 away win against Real Sociedad
FC Barcelona's form in the last five league matches: WWWLW
This corresponds to 4 wins and 1 loss
Barcelona last won 3-1 at home against Real Betis
统计数据
Valencia scores an average of 1.14 goals per home game and concedes 1.05 goals
FC Barcelona scores an average of 2.47 goals away and concedes 1.53 goals
Overall, Valencia has scored 43 goals in 37 games (Avg. 1.16) and conceded 54 goals (Avg. 1.46)
Barcelona has scored an impressive 94 goals in 37 games (Avg. 2.54) and conceded only 33 goals (Avg. 0.89)
At Valencia's stadium, the last 5 games averaged 3.4 total goals per match
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and 3 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Barcelona dominated
Barcelona won all 5 encounters
The goal difference is 24-4 in favor of Barcelona
The last match on September 14, 2025, was won by FC Barcelona away with a 6-0 score
关键球员
Key players for Valencia are:
Hugo Duro (Attacker): 10 season goals, 0 assists, average rating 6.74
Javi Guerra (Midfielder): 3 season goals, 6 assists, last 5 games with 2 goals and 2 assists and a rising form trend
Diego López (Attacker): 4 season goals, 1 assist, last 5 games with 1 goal and 1 assist
Key players for FC Barcelona are:
Ferran Torres (Attacker): 16 season goals, 1 assist, last 5 games with 2 goals
Robert Lewandowski (Attacker): 13 season goals, 2 assists, last 5 games with 1 goal and 1 assist
Marcus Rashford (Attacker): 8 season goals, 8 assists, last 5 games with 2 goals and 1 assist
Not nominated for Barcelona: Fermín López (6G/9A), Pedri (2G/9A), João Cancelo (2G/2A), Jules Koundé (1G/3A), Roony Bardghji (1G/1A)
Not nominated for Valencia: Eray Cömert (2G/1A), José Gayá (1G/2A)
门将
Valencia's goalkeeper is Stole Dimitrievski, who has been featured in 19 season games
Valencia's team achieved 9 clean sheets this season
FC Barcelona's goalkeeper is Wojciech Szczesny, who has been featured in 7 season games
Barcelona's team achieved 15 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Valencia shows solid home strength with an average of 1.14 home goals and 1.05 goals conceded
The Estadio de Mestalla is known for many goals with an average of 3.4 per match
Both teams scored in 80% of the recent games at Mestalla