La Liga
Real Madrid - Athletic Club
05/23/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.6
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%1:2
5%xG 分解
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
28%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Real Madrid's strong league position (2nd place) and home performance with 1.95 home goals and only 0.67 goals conceded
- Real Madrid's clear H2H dominance with 4 wins in 5 direct encounters
- Significant goal-scorer absences on both sides: V. Júnior (16 goals) for Real Madrid and N. Williams (6 goals) for Athletic Club
风险因素
- Real Madrid's goal production is declining in recent form (1.2 goals/game) compared to their season average (2.1 goals/game)
- Athletic Club concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game
- Athletic Club shows poor form with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
概述
Real Madrid (2nd place, 83 points) hosts Athletic Club (12th place, 45 points) at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. La Liga match on May 23, 2026, 9:00 PM. Real Madrid is fighting for the top spot in the league, while Athletic Club is positioned in the midfield.
近期状态
Real Madrid shows solid form with DWLWW in their last five matches across all competitions (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their last appearance ended in a win.
Athletic Club is in a more difficult phase with form LWLLD. In their last five matches, they had 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their last appearance was a draw.
统计数据
Real Madrid averaged 1.97 goals scored per game and conceded 0.89 goals per game this season. At home, the average is 1.95 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded.
Athletic Club averages 1.11 goals scored per game and concedes 1.46 goals per game. Away, the average is 1.12 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded.
At the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, the last 5 matches averaged 3.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches (80%), and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches (60%).
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid dominated with 4 wins, while Athletic Club secured 1 win. There were no draws.
Real Madrid scored a total of 9 goals compared to Athletic Club's 2 goals. The last encounter on December 03, 2025, saw Real Madrid win comfortably 3-0. The recent record shows Real Madrid's dominance in these matchups.
关键球员
For Real Madrid, these players stand out:
Kylian Mbappé with 24 season goals and 5 assists with an average rating of 7.64.
Federico Valverde with 5 season goals and 8 assists and an average rating of 7.34.
Jude Bellingham with 5 season goals and 4 assists with an average rating of 7.32.
For Athletic Club, the following players are crucial:
Gorka Guruzeta with 9 season goals and 3 assists and an average rating of 6.94.
Iñaki Williams with 3 season goals and 4 assists and an average rating of 6.66.
Robert Navarro with 6 season goals and 1 assist and an average rating of 6.70.
门将
Thibaut Courtois of Real Madrid made 31 season appearances. Real Madrid recorded a total of 14 clean sheets.
Álex Padilla of Athletic Club made 1 season appearance. Athletic Club kept 6 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Real Madrid benefits from the home advantage at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, where the team scores an average of 1.95 goals and concedes only 0.67 goals.
The stadium's last 5 matches showed an average of 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 cases and more than 2.5 goals scored in 3 out of 5 cases. The surface is grass.