🇪🇸

La Liga

Celta de Vigo - Sevilla

05/23/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Celta de Vigo
1.3
Total xG
2.3
Sevilla
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
CDVSEV

Celta de Vigo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.38
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.21
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第14位, 相差8位)
+0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.02
Ferran Jutglà替补席 (9球, 3助攻)
Hugo Álvarez替补席 (4球, 2助攻)

Sevilla

排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第6位, 相差8位)
-0.09
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03
Rubén Vargas替补席 (3球, 6助攻)
Neal Maupay替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Nemanja Gudelj替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

31%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

69%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • League Position: Celta de Vigo is in 6th place, significantly ahead of Sevilla in 14th place
  • Pipeline Prediction: The model calculates a home win for Celta de Vigo with a 43% probability
  • Sevilla Defense: Sevilla concedes an average of 1.89 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Reduced Goal Threat for Sevilla: Rubén Vargas, Neal Maupay, and Nemanja Gudelj are missing, only 94% of usual goal threat available
  • Celta de Vigo Attack: Celta de Vigo averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Celta de Vigo (6th place, 51 points) host Sevilla (14th place, 43 points) at the Estadio de Balaídos

La Liga match on May 23, 2026, 9:00 PM

Celta de Vigo aims to consolidate their higher league position, while Sevilla fights to catch up in the midfield

近期状态

Celta de Vigo's current form across all competitions is LWWLD

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from the last 5 matches

Sevilla's form is LWWWL

This means 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Celta de Vigo last drew 1-1 away against Athletic Club

Sevilla lost their last home match 0-1 against Real Madrid

统计数据

Celta de Vigo has averaged 1.41 goals scored per game and conceded 1.3 goals per game this season

Sevilla has scored 1.24 goals per game and conceded 1.59 goals per game

Celta de Vigo kept 9 clean sheets, Sevilla managed 6

Both teams scored in 24 Celta de Vigo matches and 22 Sevilla matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 17 Celta de Vigo matches and 21 Sevilla matches

At home, Celta de Vigo averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded

Away from home, Sevilla averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.89 goals conceded

The Estadio de Balaídos has seen an average of 4.6 total goals per game in the last 5 matches

In 4 of these 5 matches, both teams scored, and in all 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Celta de Vigo recorded 3 wins

Sevilla won 1 match, and 1 game ended in a draw

The goal difference is 7:5 in favor of Celta de Vigo

The last meeting on January 12, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Sevilla

关键球员

For Celta de Vigo, Borja Iglesias is a key offensive player with 14 goals and 2 assists in 34 season appearances

Williot Swedberg contributed 5 goals and 5 assists in 28 appearances and shows a rising form trend

Iago Aspas scored 5 goals and 3 assists in 31 season appearances

For Sevilla, Djibril Sow is a key player with 5 goals and 4 assists in 32 season appearances

Alexis Sánchez recorded 4 goals and 2 assists in 27 appearances

Oso is another important player with 2 goals and 3 assists in 20 season appearances

门将

Ionuț Radu is Celta de Vigo's goalkeeper and has kept 9 clean sheets in 37 season appearances

For Sevilla, Ørjan Nyland is in goal, with 0 clean sheets in 4 season appearances

影响因素

Celta de Vigo's home record shows 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per home game

Sevilla concedes an average of 1.89 goals per away game, while scoring 1.22 goals

The Estadio de Balaídos is known for high-scoring games with an average of 4.6 goals per match

In the last 5 matches at Estadio de Balaídos, over 2.5 goals were always scored

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。