Serie A
Parma - Monza
09/06/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.2
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
13%0:1
11%1:0
11%1:2
7%What influences the xG?
Parma
Monza
The Lab
- 1Parma: 6 of 13 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
33%
Away Win
34%
Goals
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
66%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Key Factors
- Extremely balanced prediction: The mathematical model calculates nearly identical chances for a home win (34%) and an away win (34%)
- Significant blow for Parma: Midfielder AdriƔn BernabƩ (3 goals, 1 assist) is missing, leaving the home side with only 75% of their usual offensive strength
- Tactical shooting advantage for the visitors: Monza averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Parma's 3.6
Risk Factors
- Ongoing form crisis for Parma: The home side lost their last three consecutive matches and failed to score a single goal
- Absences in Monza's squad: The injuries of midfielder M. Pessina and attacker K. Maussi Martins reduce the visitors' squad options
Overview
Parma hosts Monza at the Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A match on September 6, 2026, 3:00 PM
Both teams sit in 16th and 17th place with zero points
A crucial early-season battle in the lower half of the table
Form
Parma enters with WWLLL form and three consecutive defeats
In their last match, Parma lost 0-2 against Cremonese
Monza travels with LWLLW form and won their last match 1-0 against Torino
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Parma scores an average of 0.74 goals per game this season
Monza's season average stands at 2.0 goals scored per game
Parma conceded 1.21 goals on average, while Monza conceded 0.0 goals
Parma's goal production is stalling at 0.6 goals recently compared to their season average of 0.9
Head-to-Head
There have been 2 head-to-head matches in the league
Parma recorded 1 win and 1 draw
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on March 15, 2025
Parma scored 3 goals in total, while Monza scored 2
Key Players
Enrico Delprato stabilizes Parma's defense with 35 appearances and 2 goals
Mandela Keita contributes 1 goal and 1 assist in 37 appearances in midfield
Christian OrdĆ³Ć±ez shows a rising form trend with a 7.17 average rating recently
Goalkeepers
Edoardo Corvi guards Parma's goal with 17 appearances and 5 clean sheets at home
Demba Thiam starts in goal for Monza
Influences
The match will be played on grass at the Stadio Ennio Tardini
Venue history shows an average of 2.2 total goals per game
Both teams scored in only 1 of the last 5 matches at this venue