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Serie A

Bologna - Sassuolo

09/06/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Bologna
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Sassuolo
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
BOLSAS

Bologna

Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.3 league avg)
-0.03
Santiago Castro not in squad (7 goals, 2 assists)
Juan Miranda on the bench (1 goals, 3 assists)
Remo Freuler not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
21% of goal output missing (only 87% available)
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)

Sassuolo

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.03
29% of goal output missing (only 84% available)
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

30%

Away Win

23%

Goals

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

77%

Away or Draw

53%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

49%

No

51%

Key Factors
  • Mathematical advantage: The model calculates a home win probability of 47% for Bologna
  • Sassuolo averaged a strong 5.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Historical strength: Bologna remained unbeaten in the last 2 head-to-head matches against Sassuolo
Risk Factors
  • Bologna will play without Santiago Castro, Juan Miranda, and Remo Freuler due to squad absences
  • Bologna failed to score any goals in their first two matches of the season
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions for this fixture
Overview

Bologna (17th place, 0 points) host Sassuolo (9th place, 3 points) at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Serie A match on September 6, 2026, 6:00 PM

Bologna is urgently searching for their first points after two opening defeats

Form

Bologna enters with form WWDLL and two consecutive defeats

Sassuolo travels with form LWLWD and a recent draw

Both teams recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Statistics

Bologna scored an average of 1.29 goals and conceded 1.21 goals throughout the season

Sassuolo averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per match

Matches at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara average 2.2 total goals

Head-to-Head

2 head-to-head matches in the historical record

Bologna recorded 1 win and 1 draw against Sassuolo

The last meeting on March 15, 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for Bologna

Key Players

Federico Bernardeschi stands out for Bologna with a form of 7.21 in the last 5 matches

For Sassuolo, Cristian Volpato shines with a form rating of 7.39 and one goal

Not nominated: Santiago Castro (7 goals, 2 assists), Juan Miranda (1 goal, 3 assists), Remo Freuler (1 goal, 2 assists)

Goalkeepers

Lukasz Skorupski guards Bologna's goal with 12 clean sheets this season

Arijanet Murić is in goal for Sassuolo and recorded 8 clean sheets

Murić holds the higher average season rating of 7.17

Influences

Home advantage for Bologna at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on grass surface

Bologna's home record stands at an average of 1.27 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded

Sassuolo scored an average of 1.24 goals and conceded 1.41 goals in away matches

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