Serie A
Torino - Roma
09/14/2026, 04:30 PM
Expected Goals
0.9
2.7
1.7
1:1
13%0:2
11%1:2
10%0:3
6%1:3
6%What influences the xG?
Torino
Roma
League
The Lab
- 1Roma: 9 wins in 10 games with xG above 1.0 (90% win rate)
- 2Roma: first goal in 9 of 12 games (75%)
- 3Torino: opponent scores first in 8 of 11 games (73%)
- 4Torino: 4 of 13 goals scored by substitutes (last 11 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
18%
Draw
26%
Away Win
56%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
44%
Away or Draw
82%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Strong offensive tactics: Roma recently averaged 7.2 shots on target per match compared to Torino's 2.4
- Form gap: Roma is currently scoring 2.6 goals per game, far above their season average of 1.7, while Torino's goal production has stalled at 1.0
- Squad rotation: Roma has not nominated Manu Koné, Wesley, and Evan Ndicka for this match
Risk Factors
- Fatigue factor: Roma enters the match with a short rest period of only 4 days since their last game
- Lack of penetration: Torino's attack has recently averaged only 2.4 shots on target per match
Overview
Torino hosts Roma at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Serie A match on September 14, 2026, 6:30 PM
Roma currently holds 2nd place with 9 points from 3 matches
Torino is in 14th place with 3 points
The away side enters as clear favorites
Form
Torino's form stands at WLLLW with 2 wins and 3 losses
Roma's recent form is strong at WWWWD, including 4 wins and 1 draw
Torino's recent goal production has stalled, averaging 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.3
Roma is in excellent form, averaging 2.6 goals recently, which is higher than their season average of 1.7
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Torino averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.66 goals conceded per match this season
Roma averaged 1.55 goals scored and conceded just 0.82 goals per match this season
Torino recorded 12 clean sheets with 19 matches seeing both teams score
Roma kept 18 clean sheets while 13 of their matches ended with both teams scoring
Head-to-Head
There have been 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams
Roma leads the historical record with 3 wins compared to Torino's 2 wins
The goal difference in these meetings is 4 to 7 goals against Torino
The last head-to-head match ended in a 2-0 victory for Roma
Key Players
Giovanni Simeone leads Torino with 11 season goals and a rating of 6.85
Nikola Vlašić contributed 8 goals and 3 assists this season with a rating of 7.00
Ché Adams recorded 6 goals and 2 assists so far with a rating of 6.85
Donyell Malen is Roma's top attacker with 14 season goals and a rating of 7.12
Paulo Dybala has registered 2 goals and 7 assists this season with a strong rating of 7.23
Matías Soulé has contributed 6 goals and 5 assists with a rating of 7.01
Goalkeepers
Lucas Perri starts in goal for Torino, boasting an average rating of 7.26 in home games
Mile Svilar protects Roma's goal, keeping 18 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 7.01
Influences
Torino averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.26 conceded in home games at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
The stadium historically averages 2.4 goals per match
Roma scores an average of 1.53 goals and concedes 1.24 goals away on grass surfaces