Serie A
Lecce - Monza
09/13/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%0:2
5%What influences the xG?
Lecce
Monza
League
The Lab
- 1Monza: 50% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (4 of 8)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
30%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- The mathematical model favors Lecce with a win probability of 41%
- Lecce recently averaged a counter-oriented style with 42% possession
- Monza is currently scoring more frequently, averaging 1.6 goals compared to their season average of 1.3
Risk Factors
- Lecce scores only 0.72 home goals per game on average this season
- Lecce's goal production is stagnating with a recent average of only 0.6 goals
- Limited data availability regarding player form data for Monza
Overview
Lecce host Monza at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Serie A match on September 13, 2026, 3:00 PM
Lecce is in 14th place with 3 points
Monza occupies 18th place with 1 point
Both teams aim to correct their poor start to the season
Form
Lecce form: WLWLL
Monza form: WLLWD
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Lecce recently recorded 2 wins and 3 losses
Monza obtained 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last matches
Statistics
Lecce scores an average of 0.74 goals per game
The hosts concede an average of 1.32 goals per match
Monza records a season average of 2.0 goals scored per game
Defensively, Monza concedes an average of 0.0 goals
Head-to-Head
2 head-to-head matches in the database
1 win for Lecce and 1 draw
Lecce scored 2 goals, while Monza scored 1 goal
The last encounter on February 16, 2025 ended in a 0:0 draw
Key Players
Tiago Gabriel has 37 appearances, 2 goals, and a rating of 6.87
Lassana Coulibaly stands at 33 games with 3 goals and 1 assist (rating 6.81)
Antonino Gallo played 37 matches with 4 assists and a rating of 6.72
Michael Folorunsho played 2 away games at this venue with a rating of 6.31
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro shows 2 matches at this venue with a rating of 6.22
Jay Robinson appeared 1 time at this stadium (0 goals, 0 assists)
Goalkeepers
Wladimiro Falcone plays in goal for Lecce and has a season average rating of 6.84
Lecce kept 10 clean sheets overall this season
Monza has kept 2 clean sheets so far this term
Influences
The match takes place on natural grass at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
This venue averages 2.2 goals per game
The stadium stats show a 20% rate for both teams to score matches
The rate for matches with over 2.5 goals stands at 40% at this venue