Serie A
Venezia - Lazio
09/19/2026, 06:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.5
1.4
1:1
14%0:0
10%0:1
10%1:2
9%0:2
8%What influences the xG?
Venezia
Lazio
League
The Lab
- 1Lazio: 5 of 14 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)
- 2Lazio: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in 12 games. Against Udinese: 2 goals (80', 90+5')
- 3Lazio: opponent scores first in 8 of 12 games (67%)
- 4Lazio: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (5 of 12 total)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
30%
Away Win
42%
Goals
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
58%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Form and standings gap: Fifth-placed Lazio (Form: LWWWD) travel as clear favorites to face bottom-placed Venezia who have zero points (Form: LLLLL)
- Tactical approach: Venezia recently averaged 60.4% possession and 4.0 shots on target, while Lazio also averaged 4.0 shots on target in their past matches
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Lazio with a 42% win probability, projecting 1.38 expected goals for the visitors compared to 1.08 for Venezia
Risk Factors
- Offensive crisis for Venezia: According to the analysis, 0% of the seasonal goal threat is currently available in the squad
- Lazio absence: Attacker Boulaye Dia (1 goal, 2 assists) is not included in the visitors' squad
- Limited data available regarding the home team's current player form
Overview
Venezia host Lazio at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Serie A match on September 19, 2026, 8:45 PM
Bottom-placed Venezia face fifth-placed Lazio
The hosts are under intense pressure having gained zero points from four matches
Form
Venezia is in a severe crisis with five consecutive defeats
Lazio is unbeaten in four matches, recording three wins and one draw
The visitors recently secured a 2-2 draw against AC Milan
Venezia lost their last home game 2-4 against Fiorentina
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Home form: LLLLL
Away form: LWWWD
Statistics
Venezia average 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded per match this season
In home games, Venezia averaged 2.0 goals scored and zero goals conceded so far
Lazio averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded per match over the entire last season
In away matches, the visitors conceded an average of 1.15 goals
Head-to-Head
There have been 2 head-to-head encounters in recent seasons
Lazio recorded one win while 1 match ended in a draw
The last meeting on February 22, 2025, ended in a goalless 0-0 draw
The overall goal difference stands at 3-1 in favor of the visitors
Key Players
John Yeboah averages a 7.74 rating at home with 2 goals and one assist
Antoine Hainaut contributed one home goal with an average rating of 6.96
Akor Adams scored once in home games, reaching an average rating of 7.00
Mattia Zaccagni holds an average rating of 7.31 in his last 5 appearances with 2 assists
Matteo Cancellieri recorded 4 goals in 30 appearances this season and scored once in his last 5 matches
Tijjani Noslin registered 4 seasonal goals and scored once in the past 5 games
Goalkeepers
Filip Stanković is in goal for Venezia with an average home rating of 6.73
Christos Mandas guards Lazio's goal, averaging a 7.12 rating in his last 5 games
Venezia kept 2 clean sheets this season
Lazio recorded 15 clean sheets across the entire last season
Influences
The match will be played on grass at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
The venue history shows a high average of 4.3 goals per game