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Serie A

Frosinone - Como

09/20/2026, 01:00 PM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Frosinone
1.1
Total xG
2.7
Como
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:2

10%

0:2

9%

2:1

6%

1:3

5%
What influences the xG?
FROCOM

Frosinone

Attack weakness (0.46x league average)
-0.88
Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
+0.53
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.04
Full strength squad available

Como

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
-0.58
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.6 goals/match)
+0.14
Rising form (2.6 vs 2.1 season average)
+0.14
MƔximo Perrone on the bench (3 goals, 4 assists)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 2.1 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.45
+0.45
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Como: first goal in 8 of 11 games (73%)

  • 2
    Frosinone: 71% of all goals in the first half (10 of 14, last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

23%

Draw

28%

Away Win

49%

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

51%

Away or Draw

77%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

54%

No

46%

Key Factors
  • Strong form trend for Como with four consecutive wins and an overall record of DWWWW
  • Como's tactical dominance averaging 58.6% possession and 6.8 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • The mathematical model predicts a 49% away win probability for Como
Risk Factors
  • Limited data availability for historical head-to-head matches
  • Limited data availability for player statistics of Frosinone
  • Absence of key midfielder MĆ”ximo Perrone for Como
Overview

Frosinone (7th place, 7 points) host Como (5th place, 10 points) at the Stadio Benito Stirpe

Serie A match on September 20, 2026, 3:00 PM

Both teams started the season solidly and aim to keep pace with the top positions

Como enters the match as slight favorites

Form

Frosinone shows solid form with the record LWDWD

In their last match, they secured a 1-1 away draw against Genoa

Como is in outstanding shape with four consecutive wins and an overall record of DWWWW

In their last game, they won 2-1 at home against Parma

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Frosinone scored an average of 1.75 goals and conceded 1.00 goal per game over 4 matches

Como averaged 1.71 goals scored and conceded just 0.76 goals per game over 38 matches

Stadio Benito Stirpe features an average of 3.67 goals per match

Both teams scored in 67% of Frosinone's home games

Key Players

For Como, Nico Paz shines with 12 season goals and 6 assists, while Anastasios Douvikas has 14 goals

Martin Baturina has contributed 6 goals and 3 assists this season

Frosinone relies on Antonio Raimondo, who has already scored 2 goals in 4 matches at this venue

Goalkeepers

Frosinone's goal is guarded by Lorenzo Palmisani, who holds an average rating of 6.57 at home

Como relies on Jean Butez, who has kept 19 clean sheets this season

Influences

Frosinone averages 1.5 goals scored per home game

Stadio Benito Stirpe is known for high-scoring matches with an average of 3.67 goals

The game will be played on grass

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