Liga Portugal
Benfica - Academico Viseu
08/09/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.3
3.2
0.8
2:0
11%2:1
10%1:1
9%3:0
9%3:1
7%The Lab
- 1Benfica: 8 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2Benfica: first goal in 7 of 8 games (88%)
- 3Benfica: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 4Benfica with Richard Ríos: 3.2 goals/game. Without: 1.5 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
70%
Draw
20%
Away Win
11%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
89%
Away or Draw
30%
No Draw
81%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Offensive form trend: Benfica is currently scoring 3.4 goals per game, significantly higher than their season average of 2.1
- Tactical dominance: Benfica recently averaged 8.2 shots on target and controlled play with 61% possession
- Home strength: The model calculates a 70% probability for a home win, supported by a strong home defense conceding only 0.68 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Fatigue factor: Benfica has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Goalkeeper form: Samuel Soares is listed with a declining form trend (delta -1.03)
- Restricted data situation for Academico Viseu due to missing season data and head-to-head history
Overview
Benfica hosts Academico Viseu at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Liga Portugal match on August 9, 2026, 8:30 PM
Benfica enters the match as the clear favorite
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 70%
Form
Benfica shows solid form with the form string DWLWW
The home team recently celebrated a clear 6-1 victory against Hearts
With 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, Benfica goes into the game strengthened
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Benfica scored an average of 2.18 goals per game last season
In home games, Benfica's scoring average is 2.16 goals per match
Benfica's defense was stable with only 0.74 goals conceded on average
In the last 5 stadium matches, the average was 4.6 total goals per game
Key Players
Vangelis Pavlidis scored 23 goals last season and showed rising form with 4 goals in the last 5 matches
Rafa Silva contributed 5 goals last season and scored four times in his last 5 appearances
Georgiy Sudakov recorded 4 goals and 2 assists in 22 season appearances
Goalkeepers
Samuel Soares is in goal for Benfica with an average season rating of 7.54
Ewerton is the goalkeeper for the visitors
Benfica kept 14 clean sheets last season
Influences
The match will be played on grass at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
The historical stadium average is 4.6 goals per game
Benfica has a strong home defense, conceding only 0.68 goals per game