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Liga Portugal

Academico Viseu - Porto

08/29/2026, 05:00 PM

0 : 3
Expected Goals
Academico Viseu
1.1
Total xG
3.5
Porto
2.4
Most Likely Scores

1:2

10%

1:3

8%

0:3

7%

2:2

5%

1:4

5%
What influences the xG?
AVPOR

Academico Viseu

Attack weakness (0.62x league average)
-0.87
Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
+0.51
Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.23
Full strength squad available

Porto

Attack strength (1.36x league average)
+1.46
Defensive strength (0.6 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.82
4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.08
Deniz GĂŒl on the bench (5 goals, 1 assists)
Alan Varela on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)

League

High-scoring league (2.8 goals/match)
+0.34
+0.34
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Porto: first goal in 9 of 12 games (75%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

14%

Draw

20%

Away Win

66%

Goals

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

68%

Under 2.5

32%

Over 3.5

46%

Under 3.5

54%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

34%

Away or Draw

86%

No Draw

80%

Both Score

Yes

61%

No

39%

Key Factors
  • Mathematical dominance with a calculated away win probability of 66%
  • Clear class gap between second-placed Porto and 12th-placed Academico Viseu
  • Offensive dominance by Porto averaging 6.0 shots on target recently
Risk Factors
  • Porto's goal production is slightly lagging in recent matches with 1.6 goals compared to their 1.9 season average
  • Limited dataset regarding player statistics for Academico Viseu
  • Lack of head-to-head history in the provided dataset
Overview

Academico Viseu in 12th place hosts second-placed Porto

Liga Portugal match on August 29, 2026, 6:00 PM at EstĂĄdio Municipal do Fontelo

Clear favorite role for the visitors Porto

Form

Academico Viseu started the season with DLD form and is still waiting for their first win

Porto arrives with LWWWW form and four wins in their last five matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Academico Viseu conceded an average of 1.67 goals per game this season

Porto has an extremely solid defense, conceding only 0.53 goals on average

The visitors scored an average of 1.94 goals per match

Key Players

Porto relies on Gabri Veiga with 3 goals and 8 assists this season

Alberto Costa has already provided 8 assists this season

William Gomes contributed 8 goals

Goalkeepers

Ewerton is in goal for Academico Viseu

Porto features Diogo Costa who holds a season rating of 6.94

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at EstĂĄdio Municipal do Fontelo

Porto enters as the dominant side, averaging 56.2% possession

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