Premier League
AFC Bournemouth - Liverpool
01/24/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.6
1.9
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
26%
Draw
36%
Away Win
38%
Goals
Over 1.5
94%
Over 2.5
84%
Over 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
62%
Away or Draw
74%
No Draw
64%
Both Score
Yes
72%
No
28%
Key Factors
- Liverpool's historical dominance: The visitors have won all of the last five encounters against Bournemouth, with a goal difference of 15:3
- Offensive form trends: Both teams show a positive offensive trend according to advanced stats, currently scoring more goals than their season average
- Injury concerns on both sides: Bournemouth is missing key players like Tavernier and Adams, while Liverpool must cope without attackers Isak and Chiesa, which could level the playing field
Risk Factors
- Bournemouth's home strength: Despite their league position, Bournemouth is defensively solid at home, conceding only 1.1 goals per game, which could challenge Liverpool
- Liverpool's inconsistent away defense: Liverpool concedes significantly more goals away from home at 1.64 per game, a weakness Bournemouth could exploit
- Contradictory form data: The home team's form summary (1W, 3D, 1L) contradicts its form string (DLWDD), indicating a potential inconsistency in the source data
Overview
AFC Bournemouth, in 15th place with 27 points, host Liverpool, 4th with 36 points, at the Vitality Stadium
The Premier League match takes place on January 24, 2026, at 6:30 PM
Liverpool aims to solidify its position in the top 4, while Bournemouth looks to move further away from the relegation zone
Form
AFC Bournemouth: DLWDD - 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss
Liverpool: DDWDW - 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
Liverpool is unbeaten in their last five matches, whereas Bournemouth shows mixed form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Offensively, both teams are quite balanced with a season average of 1.59 goals (Bournemouth) and 1.50 goals (Liverpool) per game
Defensively, Liverpool is more stable, conceding an average of 1.32 goals, compared to Bournemouth's 1.86
Bournemouth's home weakness is evident with only 4 clean sheets in 10 home games
Liverpool has kept 3 clean sheets in 11 away matches
At the Vitality Stadium, there's an average of 2.6 goals per game, and in 60% of matches, both teams scored
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Liverpool has a perfect record with 5 wins
AFC Bournemouth has not won any of these matches, and there have been no draws
The goal difference is clearly in Liverpool's favor at 15:3
The last meeting ended in a 4-2 victory for Liverpool
Key Players
Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth's top scorer with 10 season goals, followed by Eli Kroupi with 7 goals
For Liverpool, Hugo Ekitiké is the most prolific scorer with 8 season goals
Cody Gakpo has contributed 5 goals and 3 assists
Florian Wirtz and Dominik Szoboszlai are showing rising form, both having scored in their last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Djordje Petrovic has been in goal for Bournemouth in 22 matches, achieving 5 clean sheets
Alisson has played 17 matches for Liverpool, keeping 7 clean sheets
Influences
Liverpool has a strong away record on grass with 6 wins and 4 draws in 10 games
Bournemouth has won only one of 10 matches on their home grass pitch (6 draws, 3 losses)
Statistics from the Vitality Stadium suggest a high probability of both teams scoring (60% BTTS rate)
Bournemouth is defensively more solid at home (1.1 goals conceded/game) than away (2.5)