Premier League
Brentford - Nottingham Forest
01/25/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.3
3.4
1.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
62%
Draw
24%
Away Win
14%
Goals
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
74%
Over 3.5
51%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
86%
Away or Draw
38%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- Brentford's extreme home strength (1.64 goals per game, only 0.71 conceded) meets Nottingham Forest's glaring away weakness (1.0 goals, 1.89 conceded)
- The form trend clearly favors Brentford (3 wins from 5 games), while Nottingham Forest (1 win from 5 games) has been inconsistent
- With Igor Thiago (16 season goals), Brentford has a striker in top form, while Nottingham Forest is missing key offensive players due to injuries
Risk Factors
- The head-to-head record is balanced with two wins each and one draw, and Nottingham won the last encounter 3-1
- Although their current form is good, Brentford's overall season form according to the table ('LWLDL') shows some inconsistency
- Nottingham Forest has significant personnel issues in attack, making their ability to score a goal unpredictable
Overview
Brentford, in 8th place with 33 points, hosts Nottingham Forest, who are in 17th place with 22 points
The Premier League match will take place on January 25, 2026, at 3:00 PM at the Gtech Community Stadium
Brentford is looking to stay in touch with the top half of the table, while Nottingham Forest is fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle
Form
Brentford shows a strong record from the last five games with the form DWWWL (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Nottingham Forest has a more mixed form with LWDDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
Brentford enters this match with a clear advantage in form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Brentford is a force at home, scoring an average of 1.64 goals per game, while their defense is very stable with only 0.71 goals conceded
Nottingham Forest struggles significantly away from home, scoring an average of only 1.0 goal while conceding 1.89
At the Gtech Community Stadium, an average of 2.8 goals are scored per game, and both teams scored in 60% of the matches
Head-to-Head
The record of the last 5 head-to-head matches is completely balanced with 2 wins for Brentford, 2 wins for Nottingham Forest, and 1 draw
The goal difference is also very close at 7:8 from Brentford's perspective
Nottingham Forest won the last encounter 3:1
There has been no dominant team in the recent past
Key Players
Igor Thiago is the standout striker for Brentford with 16 season goals, including 5 in the last 5 games; his form is on a sharp rise
Kevin Schade is also a key offensive factor with 6 season goals and 3 assists
For Nottingham Forest, Morgan Gibbs-White is the most dangerous player with 5 season goals
Callum Hudson-Odoi has also shown good form recently with 2 goals in his last five matches
Goalkeepers
Brentford's goalkeeper CaoimhĂn Kelleher has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Matz Sels in goal for Nottingham Forest has recorded 4 clean sheets
Influences
Brentford has a clear home advantage, supported by the statistic of 1.64 goals scored to 0.71 goals conceded per home game
On natural grass, Brentford has a better record with 5 wins from 10 matches compared to Nottingham Forest's 3 wins from 10
The average number of goals at the stadium is 2.8, which suggests entertaining matches