Premier League
Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers
01/24/2026, 03:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.0
1.3
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
31%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- City's strong home offense (2.08 goals per game) meets Wolves' weak away defense (2.57 goals conceded per game)
- A major contrast between league position (2nd vs 20th) and recent form, where Wolves are unbeaten in five (DWDWD) while City has struggled (DDWLL)
- Manchester City is facing significant injury problems in defense, with key players like RĂșben Dias and John Stones sidelined
Risk Factors
- Wolves' attacking form has surged according to advanced stats (2.75 recent goals avg), which could pose a threat to City's depleted defense
- The form strings provided in the data are contradictory (league table vs. dedicated form data), making the true form of both teams difficult to assess
- Despite their high league position, City has shown inconsistent form recently, which could give the underdog an opportunity
Overview
Manchester City (2nd place, 43 points) hosts Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 8 points) at the Etihad Stadium
The Premier League match takes place on January 24, 2026, at 4:00 PM
It's a classic clash between a title contender and the bottom-of-the-table team fighting relegation
Form
Manchester City: DDWLL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
The home team's form is inconsistent, with only one victory in their last five matches
Wolverhampton Wanderers: DWDWD (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
The visitors are surprisingly unbeaten in their last five games and are in significantly better form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Manchester City's offense scores an average of 2.05 goals per game for the season, while Wolverhampton is at just 0.68 goals
Defensively, City is much more stable with 0.95 goals conceded per game compared to the Wolves' 1.86
The difference is particularly stark in Wolves' away games, where they concede an average of 2.57 goals
Manchester City has kept 9 clean sheets this season, Wolverhampton only 2
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Manchester City has the upper hand
Manchester City won 4 matches, while Wolverhampton Wanderers won 1
The goal difference is 13:4 in favor of Manchester City
The last meeting ended in a 4:0 victory for Manchester City
Key Players
Erling Haaland is the top scorer with 20 season goals but shows a declining form trend
Rayan Cherki has already provided 7 assists this season
Phil Foden has contributed 7 goals
At Wolves, Hee-chan Hwang is in rising form and has recently been involved in goals and assists
Jhon Arias and Mateus Mané also show rising form and have scored recently
Goalkeepers
Gianluigi Donnarumma is in goal for Manchester City; the team has kept 9 clean sheets this season
José Så is the goalkeeper for Wolverhampton Wanderers, who have kept 2 clean sheets this season
Influences
The Etihad Stadium appears to be a decisive factor, with an average of 4.2 goals per game in recent matches
Manchester City has a strong home record on natural grass with 6 wins, 3 draws, and only one loss
Wolverhampton Wanderers struggle on natural grass away from home, with only 2 wins and 5 losses